Obama’s Long ISIS War: It Will Take Years and Kill Thousands
Continuation of "creative destruction" under the war on terror banner
The New York Times, long the preferred conduit for war propaganda, has laid out Obama’s plan to defeat ISIS, aka the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.
The administration warns the effort will take years to complete and continue after Obama has left office. The first phase a sustained air campaign will, the Times claims, roll back ISIS gains in northern and western Iraq. Details on how this will work minus ground troops is not explained.Next, the United States will shuffle around the government in Iraq to make it “more inclusive.” This is total blue sky.
The final element of Obama’s supposed plan to deal with ISIS calls for a de facto invasion of Syria. The Pentagon estimates this part of the plan will take at least 36 months.
Of course, the Pentagon is notorious for issuing such off the wall figures. Back in 2002, as the U.S. prepared for an invasion of Iraq — ultimate death toll, over a million people — then Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld declared the invasion would be mercifully short. “The idea that it’s going to be a long, long, long battle of some kind I think is belied by the fact of what happened in 1990,” he said, making a reference to the previous invasion of Iraq. “Five days or five weeks or five months, but it certainly isn’t going to last any longer than that,” he said. “It won’t be a World War III.”
Following the official timeline the Iraq War lasted nearly nine years, making it the third longest war in U.S. history. The War in Afghanistan lasted just over 13 years and the Vietnam War nearly 11. By contrast, U.S. participation in the Second World War ended after 3.7 years.
The U.S. admits the obviously unworkable plan to get rid of ISIS is unprecedented.
From the Times:
The military campaign Mr. Obama is preparing has no obvious precedent. Unlike American counterterrorism operations in Yemen and Pakistan, it is not expected to be limited to drone strikes against militant leaders. Unlike the war in Afghanistan, it will not include the use of ground troops, which Mr. Obama has ruled out.Like the so-called “Kosovo war” and the first Iraq invasion, the war against ISIS, an enemy created by the United States and its partners in the Middle East, will be a war against civilians.
Unlike the Kosovo war that President Bill Clinton and NATO nations waged in 1999, it will not be compressed into an intensive 78-day tactical and strategic air campaign. And unlike during the air campaign that toppled the Libyan leader, Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi, in 2011, the Obama administration is no longer “leading from behind,” but plans to play the central role in building a coalition to counter ISIS.
ISIS Will Live to Fight Another Day
Faced with U.S. air power and sustained bombing raids, ISIS will melt back into the civilian population. “A Reuters examination of three weeks of U.S. air strikes reveals significant changes in the way the ISIS operates since the U.S. joined the struggle against them, with fewer militants on the streets of Mosul the clearest sign,” Isabel Coles and Peter Apps reported for Reuters last week.“ISIS cannot hide the heavy equipment it captured (like howitzers, trucks and tanks) if it uses them in battle, and it can’t hide them or protect them from attack unless perhaps it brings them into populated areas,” notes Michael S. Rozeff. “ISIS is also spread thin and vulnerable to an opposition force that relies on maneuverability and operational initiative. These weaknesses suggest that ISIS will pull in its horns for a while and go back to hit and run truck bomb tactics. This means that a conventional victory against ISIS won’t be possible… ISIS cannot be defeated militarily as Obama’s rhetoric suggests.”
The U.S. ran out of military targets within the first few days of the 2003 invasion of Iraq. It then concentrated on civilian infrastucutre and so-called “dual-use” targets — electrical power, media, and telecommunications installations. The targeting of civilian infrastructure was more extensive during the first Iraq invasion and included a wide range of civilian targets from electric power generation and water treatment to food processing and distribution facilities and markets and even historical sites.
A Continuation of “Creative Destruction” in the Middle East
Reducing nations to failed state status is a specialty of the U.S. military and the process of “constructive chaos” will continue and likely be amplified during the ISIS phase of the clash of civilizations war.In addition to further balkanizing Iraq along religious and sectarian lines, the ISIS war will strive to take down the al-Assad government in Syria and import balkanization and, through poverty and thirdworldization, finlandization (pacification).
The ultimate objective was outlined by the World Tribunal on Iraq. Its conclusions, reached in 2005, were ignored by the war propaganda media, including The New York Times. The tribunal argued from Istanbul that the U.S. and its partners had engaged
“…in policies to wage permanent war on sovereign nations. Syria and Iran have already been declared as potential targets. In declaring a ‘global war on terror,’ the US government has given itself the exclusive right to use aggressive military force against any target of its choosing. Ethnic and religious hostilities are being fueled in different parts of the world.”
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