Obama's visit: Half of understanding on Iran and Syria at odds
Last Updated: Fri, 28 March to March 2014, 05: 11: AM
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Source: Al-Hayat
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The title of the visit of President Barack Obama to Riyadh today is to
revive confidence and repair the American relationship - Saudi Arabia to
consolidate again.
Will not be «securitization» surface to hide the imbalance in the
relationship over the past year worthwhile if the goal really create
fixed rules of the relationship in the wake of vibration founded.
The stroke that hit the American relationship - Saudi Arabia has roots
regional inevitable openness in that and get to know their causes and
how to treat them.
But there is also a decline in the side of a binary relationship
requires a diagnosis of the damage and a description of her medicine.
The visit itself is a testament to the American Correction leadership,
Saudi Arabia and their determination to get to know what the other is
touring in mind.
It queries visit as much as it is to visit feelers to the extent any of
the parties are willing to cope with the developments in the map of the
Middle East and international relations, or separation around each.
Iran, Egypt, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Lebanon and Palestine will be present
on the agenda of the talks, as well as the security system of the Gulf
and the fight against Islamic extremism, terrorism, nuclear weapons,
chemical and oil and gas. The review will not be enough, and full understandings are not on the horizon and realistic.
But do not need to go out of this visit, a draft working paper and a
road map for the American relationship - Saudi Arabia remoteness duo as
regional dimensions. The more likely they will do due to the adoption of Washington and Riyadh need to each other in more than one file and path.
The most difficult decade lies at the intersection of the American
relationship - the relationship with the Saudi American - Iranian Arjoha
as Barack Obama.
The dismantling of the contract requires a lot of reassurance from
Saudi Arabia briefed on what is happening in the nuclear negotiations
between the countries «5 +1» with Iran and find a place in any talks
American - Iranian about Iran's regional role.
In the expanded American president to work to care for an interview
with a Saudi - Iranian qualitative precisely with the forces of
moderation inside Iran. These forces very careful on the solid relationship between them and Washington.
According to the claim, not in the mind of regional hegemony and adopt
practices «Revolutionary Guards» and «Qods Force» in the Arab countries.
If it is difficult to talk openly about what the paradigm shift
required by reassuring to Riyadh and other Arab capitals, in the
possibility of Barack Obama find a back channel to talk to the American -
Saudi - Iranian, also found the channel Oman confidential conversations
American - Iranian.
Even then, as a lot of files at the regional intersects relationship
Arabia - Iran, it is important for the American president to clarify his
policies toward the intersection stations and take clear decisions are
not irreversible.
The administration is determined to move to a nuclear deal with Iran by
the month of July, fearing to miss the opportunity to understandings
with the forces of moderation led by President Hassan Rohani.
Calendar nuclear negotiations coincide with the implementation of
Damascus pledges to get rid of the arsenal of chemical weapons and with
its intention to conduct a presidential election that destroys the
transitional political process sponsored talks «Geneva - 2»
International.
Iran's Revolutionary Guards will not hamper the nuclear negotiations,
because the lifting of sanctions on Iran is linked to the completion of
those negotiations. The Revolutionary Guard wants that money and needed in order to implement his agenda in Syria in particular.
He insists on not compromising the regime in Damascus due to Syria's
central location on the Mediterranean and vitality to Mamrha «Hezbollah»
in Lebanon.
That any lifting of sanctions for Iran quickly located directly in the
interest of the forces of extremism and not the forces of moderation. The Revolutionary Guard is practically ruling in Tehran.
Saudi officials will ask President Obama and his team how they intend
to reconcile openness to Iran between moderation and extremism rigor
with which Iran adheres to the goals of regional hegemony through Syria,
Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen, as well as in the Gulf region via Bahrain and
the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia.
American officials insist with Saudi officials on the need to give a
real chance of Iranian moderation and seriousness because it is in
everyone's interest.
They will affirm that do not return for openness and a decline in the
determination to reach understandings on a permanent nuclear issue.
Ciecddon truce that Americans demand and consistent policy, because the
United States does not want a military confrontation with Iran
whatsoever.
A profound difference between the two positions in practice. Variyad opposes Iranian incursion in Iraq to the point out of the Arab house and put it under the dictation of Iran. Washington would respond that they left Iraq, nor would it have a degree of influence in the Arab or Persian affiliation.
Riyadh will insist that the Iranian role in Bahrain vandal goal but gorging Bahrain sedition charges as Vladimir Putin Crimea.
Washington would respond to criticism of how the language of the
government's performance in Manama toward the Shiite majority, stressing
the need to preserve the right of equal citizenship for all.
Moagafihama would meet in the eastern region careful in Saudi Arabia
and the rejection of any Iranian infiltration in order to sabotage it
under any circumstances.
Riyadh and Washington is agree on a categorical rejection of any
attempts to destabilize the kingdom, regardless of whether the Iranian
identity, or at the hands of Sunni extremism coming across «Al-Qaeda»
and the like.
Mozkhma will be in Syrian affairs and its extension to Lebanon.
There is a need to necessary decisions both Washington and Riyadh, and
here the Iranian element interferes with the American decision par
excellence.
Lebanese, expanded in the Obama administration to show serious attention before it is too late.
Fight the forces of Sunni extremism and the forces of terror coming
from the likes of «Daash» and «Front victory» must be an American
decision and Saudis believe, regardless of the justifications reply to
entry «Hezbollah» directly involved in the Syrian war. Support the Lebanese army, a common goal for the United States and Saudi Arabia, both of which provide it with support.
It remains to Washington should be very firm with Tehran to hand
responsibility for the neutralization of Lebanon and the implementation
of the «Hezbollah» policy of self-distancing and not to disrupt the
presidential elections or Tgaerha to serve the party and not the
country.
As for Syria, the American president's visit to Saudi Arabia would be
suitable for either a new quality resolutions to Washington or to
another station in the reputation of retreat and cope with a fait
accompli after another subordination to the dictates of the Iranian and
Russian.
American officials suggest that the Obama administration has determined
the shift in the policy of the Obama administration in the Syrian
issue.
Say they have a plan of action with the moderate opposition goal to
enable virtually armed to be able to, first, of a change in the military
equation about the forces of order, and secondly, the weakening of the
forces of extremism and terrorism, which injected itself into the Syrian
arena.
Assert that they are in the midst of extending aid to the moderate
opposition logistically and organizationally and strategically.
What would be taken up Obama's visit to Riyadh in the best first class in the Military Quality of the Syrian opposition.
And find a political solution, which is an international meeting semi
Today in trouble and everyone is aware of my work, inwardly, that the
military path is the only answer to the failure of the political track.
The United States would not intervene militarily in Syria under any circumstances. This is almost a foregone conclusion.
Obama's visit will not relive the details of what happened when the
American president arrived to the eleventh hour and then retreat without
telling his partners that the French or the Saudis for a military
strike that threatened them.
Everyone knows that he has contingency plans that do not need to send
American troops to Syria, but no one trusts his intention to intervene
militarily in practice and, at least until now.
What will touch the talks in Riyadh is why Washington has a strategy of
counter-strategy of the Iranian-based support for a presidential
election to ensure the survival of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in
power and topple the idea of the establishment of a transitional
provision powers to the full text of the statement «Geneva - 1» The
bookmark obvious Conference « Geneva - 2 ».
So far, the response from American officials to reject the legitimacy
of these elections and rejected the legitimacy of the results. This means that if those elections were conducted conjoin to take off for legitimate Bashar al-Assad.
Saudi response would be, well, but this does not work because the
election will lead to blow up the path to the Geneva negotiations, and
because the word of legitimacy or illegitimacy previously uttered by the
American president himself years ago, and here he is in office and
Syria in the disaster and tragedy.
The need for a counter-strategy to strategy elections require serious American and Saudi alike.
China, for example, must be part of the strategy of anti, so that
Afteragaha for Russia in support of those elections will have a
significant impact on the diplomatic map.
The possibility of both Washington and Riyadh to work seriously to
isolate Russia in the Syrian arena by insisting on China that the time
has come to take a clear position about the commitments it made instead
of hiding behind their solidarity with Russia and give leadership in the
Syrian issue.
This in itself is not enough, therefore, must be issued for Obama's
visit to Riyadh coherent plan of action and a clear road map in the
Syrian issue. Part of that strategy is located in the anti-American talk with Tehran.
If betting on the forces of moderation master of the arena, it does not
negate the need to intervene with the claim of moderation forces of
extremism that will benefit from openness in order to stop the march of
disabled openness and the consequent lifting of sanctions. The means are available as tools.
The easiest contract in Obama's visit to Riyadh will be in the Egyptian
issue, especially that Abdel Fattah al-Sisi became an official
candidate for the presidency in Egypt. Obama administration corrected that issue and returned the Egyptian derailed in the Arab campaign.
Saudi Arabia and Egypt have made it a key issue and acted with great
determination and coherent strategy together with the United Arab
Emirates.
Egypt's demand to stop criminalizing «Muslim Brotherhood» and
classified as a terrorist organization and execution of judgments in the
hundreds, as it did recently. This requires assertive Saudis and Emiratis, especially that the two Egyptian state funded.
But it is important in the context of the American relationship -
Egyptian that the Obama administration «Kuat» derailed wrong in Egypt
and began to understand the background of the UAE and Saudi attitudes
toward the Egyptian Event.
Began to listen to the importance of the determination to regain weight
in the Arab regional balance of power, even if it is blessed.
Of course, the visit will address the issues of human rights and the
need to develop in Saudi Arabia, including women's rights and freedom of
expression.
Riyadh will confirm their readiness to activate the Arab initiative and
implemented to the maximum extent, they are not particularly reassure
Washington and Israel it is ready to Arab and Islamic countries to
normalize relations with Israel and recognition If ended its occupation
of the Palestinian territories.
Secondly, the talks will touch on in central Riyadh to consolidate American relationship - Saudi Arabia.
Campaign in the American scene to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia always
take turn to 9/11, any Saudi role as he sees Americans in the terrorism
that has plagued America due to the involvement of 19 Saudis in
terrorism.
Saudi Arabia recent actions to criminalize citizens involved in
terrorism globally did not make their way to after the American
consciousness, or the popular media ... this visit should emerge after
these procedures and their importance.
Finally, Barack Obama's visit to Saudi Arabia opportunity for the
American president to restore some of the lost person at the Arab
environment and perhaps the world public opinion. It is the day in the process of reformulating its reputation on the issue of the Ukrainian package with Russia. Today he demands heard about the re-formulation of the Syrian issue.
Source: Al-Hayat
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