Obama alliance "regional" liquidation "of the Islamic state" is facing difficulties: Turkey and Jordan hesitant .. worry .. busy Houthis and Saudi Arabia and Sheikh .. "Conclave" assured me that he will stand in the same trench Baghdadiأرسلت مذكرة إلى أوباما إيزيس نقول لهم لخوض حرب مع سوريا
Abdel Bari Atwan
Cast President Barack Obama (Wednesday), a speech setting out the
strategy relating to the declaration of war on "Islamic state" in order
to eliminate the danger that threatens American interests and its allies
in the region, and will coincide this speech with a tour by the
Minister of State, John Kerry and his defense minister, Chuck Hegel in
many capitals in the Middle East, including Riyadh, Amman and Ankara as
well as Baghdad.
Details of this American strategy is still unknown, but there are leaks
indicated it will focus on several titles, notably drying the sources
of funding "Islamic state", and stop the flow of foreign fighters to
join their ranks, and the intensification of military action to destroy
the bases and groupings military-controlled territory in Iraq and Syria.
President Obama said in a speech earlier, "he would eliminate the"
Islamic state "as he spent on" Al Qaeda ", but his words this seems kind
of self-deception in addition to deceive others, he did not spend on"
Al Qaeda ", despite spending more than a trillion dollars of American
taxpayer money under the title of "war on terror" When this war started,
there was one seat for the organization in Afghanistan, and now has
more than a dozen headquarters in the Middle East and the world, was the
announcement of the opening, most recently in India.
As to dry up the financial organization "Islamic state", this goal will
not be achieved in the time of President Obama (left him two years in
power) for the simple reason that "Islamic state" self-sufficient in
financial terms, and there are an estimated wealth of about seven
billion dollars , and to enter into a budget of more than two million
dollars a day from the sale of crude oil or refined, and this money can
could last for five years to come, if not more, they do not have
embassies huge abroad, nor ministers are corrupt, not governed by the
Chairman or the king of wasting their money in the works extravagance
and luxury private jets and other Arabs, such as his peers.
***
Do not tell this to speak praise or glorification, but rather based on
confirmed information obtained from several sources close to the
"Islamic state", I met her during my recent visit to the capital of
Jordan to discuss this phenomenon, which unite the entire world against
the gravity and brutality and ruthlessness, and study the origins and
find out the reasons for its rise legendary on the ladder of
international and regional interest, and the extent of its ability to
stretch and hold.
President Obama will find great difficulty in forming a coalition that
wants its inception, both sides of the international and regional
levels, because the wishes something and the practical application of
something else, states that he will meet leaders envoys "shiver" than
just ask them to send ground troops to the battlefield, it has become
accustomed to fighting the Americans and others on its behalf, such as
the Gulf states, or there is a risk that can ensue participation as is
the case with Turkey, which fears on internal security, and the turnover
of tourism (30 billion dollars), and its agreement peacefully with its
citizens Kurds, and national unity of the demographic and geographic
together, in addition to the security and lives of its citizens
prisoners with the "Islamic State" (46 diplomat were in the consulate in
Mosul hour seizure of the city).
Saudi Arabia is facing internal crisis raging, and inhabited spillover
risk Houthi in Yemen, and is well aware that the state owns supporters
and sympathizers and even devotees among the youth, and overwhelmed
carry "Egypt Sisi" Economic, did not happen at all it had sent Saudi
forces outside its territory since the war in Yemen. . either Jordan
opposition to sending troops to Iraq to escalate at both parliamentary
and popular, and the state of tension that began with the Gaza war, and I
grew up after the agreement to import gas from Israel, and the widening
gap between rich and poor, looking for a bomber.
In my meetings in Amman heard things on a large degree of importance,
Valmtatefon with "Islamic state" They told me that the US military
intervention might inflame sectarian war in Iraq, and unites the Sunni
community behind the "state", and also said that he will be described as
interference in favor of the Shiites , and beat, for example, that the
restoration of the city, "Amerli" Iraqi mixed from the hands of the
troops, "the state" after the bombing of intense US came at the hands of
a coalition of Iraqi army forces, along with four militias "Shiite"
such as the League of the Righteous, the Badr Corps, Peace Corps (Mahdi
formerly) In addition to the Kurdish Peshmerga forces.
Sheikh Abu Muhammad al-Maqdisi, who is described as a scene Salafi
jihadist, and a teacher of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, bookmark
jurisprudential legitimacy Home Front "victory" along Sheikh "Abu
Qatada," he told me when I met him in his modest in a slum in the city
of Zarqa, that if choice between supporting the American military
intervention and the "Islamic state", he will choose the latter and do
the same thing a lot of elders and preachers, and confirmed that he had
issued a message in this regard and circulated to his followers on
social networking.
Sheikh al-Maqdisi and entered into a fierce battle against doctrinal
"Islamic state" and the announcement of Mr. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the
caliphate, and subjected to a fierce war of supporters of the state and
less charge was forwarded to him, blasphemy and apostasy, and exit from
the group.
There is no doubt that the United States has the strike force, as the
greatest power in history, and can cause significant losses to "Islamic
state", just as it did emirate of the Taliban in Afghanistan and the
occupation of Iraq later, and regime change in Libya, but the main
question is about the age of this Intervention and-running and the
results that can entail.
Personally, in my conversations with some of the elders who sympathize
with the "Islamic state" felt like they do not care or fear of US
military intervention, and speak with confidence about their happiness
involvement of America once again in the region, and said to me, one who
fought under the banner of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi that he "will dance joy
"if US coalition forces arrived, both international and regional levels
to Iraq and Syria, and when I tried to know the source of this
confidence," he smiled, "and declined to say.
***
We have to Ntzkra one thing, which is that Turkey has done everything
to topple the regime of President Bashar al-Assad, from facilitating the
passage of money and jihadists across its territory and the end of the
establishment of the umbrella of alternative political system, but one
thing has not provided him a dispatch of Turkish troops to fight
alongside the Syrian opposition, and did everything From Saudi Arabia,
Qatar and the two states are more hostile to the Syrian regime, the same
thing, we do not believe that these three countries, combined or
separate, brook fight a long war of attrition armies are not eligible to
fight
Here we do not predict success or failure of the international
coalition the new regional led by America, which crystallized features
days longer day will turn into reality in a matter of weeks,
particularly after that revealed polls that 91 percent of Americans
support a project President Obama in eliminating the "Islamic state"
terrorist, But we look into the experimenter look beyond, dependent on
metrology by examining similar past experiences.
President Obama is known Ptlkah and staying away from military
interventions, and came to the presidency for his opposition to the wars
in Iraq and Afghanistan, but it seems that the criticism of the House
of Representatives and the Senate Republicans and their pressure brought
him out of his reservations and knot the fear of war, which controls
it, but one thing is certain that his experience will not be easy and
the results are not guaranteed in all cases.
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