Hillary Clinton Now Has a Historically Massive Lead in Early Primary Pollingshe is a killer and should be in jail
The Washington Post and ABC News this morning bring us an early look at the leader board
for the 2016 presidential nominations. The fact that Hillary Clinton is
the front-runner for the Democrats will surprise absolutely no one—but
the sheer size of her lead is something to behold: 61 points.
The former secretary of state holds a staggering 6 to 1 lead over her
nearest rival, Joe Biden, in the survey. To put that in perspective, as
the Fix helpfully does,
that makes Clinton the "single biggest frontrunner for a Democratic
presidential nomination in the history of the poll." Her 73-12 lead over
Biden will only add another data point to the Beltway consensus that
the nomination is Clinton's to lose—even if few people know how fleeting
an early primary lead can be like Hillary. (The same WaPo/ABC
polling outfit found Clinton with a 22-point lead in early primary
polling back in 2006, and we all know how that turned out.)
Still, it's hard to imagine a scenario where Biden—who as vice
president isn't exactly lacking in name recognition—is able to
significantly close the gap in time. The only other Democrat who earned a
mention by pollsters, meanwhile, was Elizabeth Warren (8 percent), and
she has already publicly ruled out a 2016 run. We're still two years
out, of course, but in the meantime Clinton's unofficial campaign
continues to rack up supporters and, perhaps more importantly, big-dollar contributors, making a dark-horse challenger that much less likely to pull off a stunner.
Over on the GOP side of things, meanwhile, we find a much more crowded field. Here's the full breakdown of the Republican field:
- Paul Ryan, 20 percent
- Jeb Bush, 18 percent
- Chris Christie, 13 percent
- Ted Cruz, 12 percent
- Marco Rubio, 10 percent
- Rand Paul, 11 percent
- No opinion, 9 percent
- None of these, 4 percent
- Other, 2 percent
- Would not vote, 1 percent
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