Jewish Murder Plan Against White Christians Exposed
The Murderous People: The Jews are under a terrible suspicion the world
over, and for good reason. Anyone who does not know this, does not
understand the Jewish problem. Anyone who merely see the Jews as "a tribe
which secures its existence with exchange and old trousers, and whose
uniforms are the long noses," is being misled. But anyone who knows the
monstrous accusation which has been raised against the jews since the
beginning of time, will view these people in a different light. He will
begin to see not only a peculiar, strangely fascinating nation; but
criminals, murderers, and devils in human form. He will be filled with holy
anger and hatred against these people of Satan. (John 8:44)
The suspicion under which the Jews are held is murder. They are charged with
enticing White Christian Children (and sometimes blacks to keep them under
control - and if necessary they will run black children down in the streets
with automobiles to show the blacks their power, and that the blacks had
better mind their manners or the same will happen again and again. We all
witnessed this a few years ago in New York city when the car of Rabbi
Shneerson ran over a black child. And as usual the Jews bought off the blacks
who were inciting the mobs against them; if they had been unsuccessful in
this they would have had the blacks who dared not be controlled murdered)
and at time White Christian adults, butchering them, and draining their
blood. They are charged with mixing this blood into their masses (unleaven
bread) and using it to practice superstitious magic. They are charged with
torturing their victims, especially the children; and during this torture
they shout threats, curses, and cast spells against non-Jews. This
systematic murder has a special name, it is called,
Copyright Disclaimer Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976?Fair use is a use permitted by copyright statute that might otherwise be infringing. Non-profit, educational or personal use tips the balance in favor of fair use. Unless you are in this field of investigative journalism, especially covering extremely sensitive subjects and potentially dangerous subjects as well, you simply cannot understand the complexities and difficulties involved with this work that I face every day.
Friday, June 19, 2015
Computer simulation shows the sun's "heartbeat" is magnetic
Computer simulation shows the sun's "heartbeat" is magnetic
Apr 05, 2013 by Bob Yirka report
Scientists have for years been trying to model the sun, but thus far attempts to do so have been lacking. The problem is that there is so much going on and the sun is so huge—to simulate it all requires more computing power than is available. At the root of all the simulations is turbulence, which is where a gas or fluid flows in a chaotic fashion. The new model shows that turbulence in the sun comes from within and flows outwardly, dissipating into ever smaller vortices, but it, like other simulations can only model this dissipation to a certain degree. At some point, the vortices are as small as just meters across and thus are too small to include in a model because there are just too many of them. The simulation built and run by Charbonneau and Smolarkiewicz goes as far as modern computers are able and shows the suns' action as a dynamo—where the amplification of a magnetic field is self-sustained due to fluid motion action.
Studying the sun and how it works is not purely academic, of course, learning how to accurately predict solar flares—when they might occur and how large they might be, would be very useful as the world becomes more and more dependent on sensitive electronic instruments that can be adversely impacted by events on the sun.
Abstract
The Sun's magnetic field is the engine and energy channel underlying virtually all manifestations of solar activity. Its evolution takes place on a wide range of spatial and temporal scales, including a prominent 11-year cycle of successive polarity reversals over the entire star. This magnetic cycle in turn modulates the physical properties of the plasma flowing away from the Sun into interplanetary space, the frequency of all geoeffective eruptive phenomena (such as flares and coronal mass ejections), and the solar radiative flux over the full range of the electromagnetic spectrum—from x-rays through ultraviolet, visible, and infrared light, all the way down to radio frequencies (1). The Sun's heartbeat is truly magnetic, and recent numerical simulations (2–5) are providing new insights into its mode of operation.
The weakest magnetic field in the solar system
The weakest magnetic field in the solar system
- Date:
- May 12, 2015
- Source:
- Technische Universitaet Muenchen
- Summary:
- Magnetic fields easily penetrate matter. Creating a space practically devoid of magnetic fields thus presents a great challenge. An international team of physicists has now developed a shielding that dampens low frequency magnetic fields more than a million-fold. Using this mechanism, they have created a space that boasts the weakest magnetic field of our solar system. The physicists now intend to carry out precision experiments there.
- Share:
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Total shares: 127
FULL STORY
Prof. Peter Fierlinger (l) and co-author Michael Sturm working at the magnetically shielded measuring room.
Credit: Astrid Eckert / TUM
Magnetic fields easily penetrate
matter. Creating a space practically devoid of magnetic fields thus
presents a great challenge. An international team of physicists has now
developed a shielding that dampens low frequency magnetic fields more
than a million-fold. Using this mechanism, they have created a space
that boasts the weakest magnetic field of our solar system. The
physicists now intend to carry out precision experiments there.
Magnetic fields exist everywhere in the universe. Here on the Earth,
we are permanently exposed to both natural and artificial magnetic
fields. In Central Europe the Earth's ever-present magnetic field
measures 48 microtesla. On top of this come local magnetic fields
generated by transformers, motors, cranes, metal doors and the like.
A group of physicists headed by Professor Peter Fierlinger, physicist at the Technische Universität München (TUM) and researcher of the Cluster of Excellence "Origin and Structure of the Universe" have now successfully created 4.1 cubic meter space at the Garching research campus in which permanent and temporally variable magnetic fields are reduced over a million-fold.
This is accomplished using a magnetic shielding comprising various layers of a highly magentizable alloy. The ensuing magnetic attenuation results in a residual magnetic field inside the shield that is even smaller than that in the depths of our solar system. The approach improves the attenuation of previous set-ups more than ten-fold.
Precision experiments on the electric dipole moment of the neutron
Reducing electromagnetic noise is a key prerequisite for many high-precision experiments in physics -- but also in biology and medicine. In fundamental physics, the highest degree of magnetic shielding is essential when making precision measurements of miniscule effects in phenomena that drove the early development of our universe.
Peter Fierlinger's team is currently developing an experiment to determine the charge distribution in neutrons -referred to by physicists as the electric dipole moment. Neutrons are nuclear particles that have a tiny magnetic moment but are electrically neutral. They comprise three quarks, whose charges cancel each other out.
However, scientists suspect that neutrons have a tiny electric dipole moment. Unfortunately, past measurements were not sufficiently precise. The new, nearly magnetic field free space provides the requisite conditions for improving measurements of the electric dipole moment by a factor of 100. This opens the door to a realm of the theoretically predicted scale of the phenomenon.
Physics beyond the limits oft the Standard Model
"This kind of measurement would be of fundamental significance in particle physics and swing wide open the door to physics beyond the Standard Model of particle physics," explains Peter Fierlinger. The Standard Model describes the characteristics of all known elementary particles to a high degree of precision.
Yet, there are still phenomena that cannot be adequately explained: Gravity, for example, is not even considered in this model. The Standard Model also fails to predict the behavior of particles at very high energies as they prevailed in the early universe. And, it provides no explanation for why matter and antimatter from the Big Bang did not annihilate each other completely, but rather a small amount of matter remained from which we and our surrounding, visible universe are ultimately formed.
Physicists therefore attempt to create short-lived conditions as were prevalent in the early universe using particle accelerators like the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN. They smash particles into each other at high energies, in particular to create new particles.
Alternatives to high-energy physics
The experiments of the TUM scientists complement those in high-energy physics: "Our high-precision experiments investigate the nature of particles at energy scales that will likely not be reached by current or future generations of particle accelerators," says doctoral candidate Tobias Lins, who worked on the magnetic shield setup in Peter Fierlinger's laboratory.
Exotic and hitherto unknown particles could alter the properties of known particles. Thus, even small deviations in particle characteristics could provide evidence for new, previously unknown particles.
In addition to scientists of TU München, physicists of the Physikalisch-Technischen Bundesanstalt Berlin, the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA, the University of Michigan, USA, and IMEDCO AG in Switzerland contributed to the experimental setup and measurements of magnetic attenuation. Funding was provided by the German Research Foundation (DFG) in the context of the Priority Program SPP 1491 and the Custer of Excellence Origin and Structure of the Universe.
A group of physicists headed by Professor Peter Fierlinger, physicist at the Technische Universität München (TUM) and researcher of the Cluster of Excellence "Origin and Structure of the Universe" have now successfully created 4.1 cubic meter space at the Garching research campus in which permanent and temporally variable magnetic fields are reduced over a million-fold.
This is accomplished using a magnetic shielding comprising various layers of a highly magentizable alloy. The ensuing magnetic attenuation results in a residual magnetic field inside the shield that is even smaller than that in the depths of our solar system. The approach improves the attenuation of previous set-ups more than ten-fold.
Precision experiments on the electric dipole moment of the neutron
Reducing electromagnetic noise is a key prerequisite for many high-precision experiments in physics -- but also in biology and medicine. In fundamental physics, the highest degree of magnetic shielding is essential when making precision measurements of miniscule effects in phenomena that drove the early development of our universe.
Peter Fierlinger's team is currently developing an experiment to determine the charge distribution in neutrons -referred to by physicists as the electric dipole moment. Neutrons are nuclear particles that have a tiny magnetic moment but are electrically neutral. They comprise three quarks, whose charges cancel each other out.
However, scientists suspect that neutrons have a tiny electric dipole moment. Unfortunately, past measurements were not sufficiently precise. The new, nearly magnetic field free space provides the requisite conditions for improving measurements of the electric dipole moment by a factor of 100. This opens the door to a realm of the theoretically predicted scale of the phenomenon.
Physics beyond the limits oft the Standard Model
"This kind of measurement would be of fundamental significance in particle physics and swing wide open the door to physics beyond the Standard Model of particle physics," explains Peter Fierlinger. The Standard Model describes the characteristics of all known elementary particles to a high degree of precision.
Yet, there are still phenomena that cannot be adequately explained: Gravity, for example, is not even considered in this model. The Standard Model also fails to predict the behavior of particles at very high energies as they prevailed in the early universe. And, it provides no explanation for why matter and antimatter from the Big Bang did not annihilate each other completely, but rather a small amount of matter remained from which we and our surrounding, visible universe are ultimately formed.
Physicists therefore attempt to create short-lived conditions as were prevalent in the early universe using particle accelerators like the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN. They smash particles into each other at high energies, in particular to create new particles.
Alternatives to high-energy physics
The experiments of the TUM scientists complement those in high-energy physics: "Our high-precision experiments investigate the nature of particles at energy scales that will likely not be reached by current or future generations of particle accelerators," says doctoral candidate Tobias Lins, who worked on the magnetic shield setup in Peter Fierlinger's laboratory.
Exotic and hitherto unknown particles could alter the properties of known particles. Thus, even small deviations in particle characteristics could provide evidence for new, previously unknown particles.
In addition to scientists of TU München, physicists of the Physikalisch-Technischen Bundesanstalt Berlin, the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA, the University of Michigan, USA, and IMEDCO AG in Switzerland contributed to the experimental setup and measurements of magnetic attenuation. Funding was provided by the German Research Foundation (DFG) in the context of the Priority Program SPP 1491 and the Custer of Excellence Origin and Structure of the Universe.
Story Source:
The above post is reprinted from materials provided by Technische Universitaet Muenchen. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.
The above post is reprinted from materials provided by Technische Universitaet Muenchen. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.
Journal Reference:
- Altarev et al. A large-scale magnetic shield with 10^6 damping at mHz frequencies. Journal of Applied Physics, May 12, 2015 DOI: 10.1063/1.4919366
Cite This Page:
Technische
Universitaet Muenchen. "The weakest magnetic field in the solar
system." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 12 May 2015.
<www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/05/150512112456.htm>.
Solar Physics Glossary
Solar Physics Glossary
Jump To:
A B C D E F G H I K M N O P Q R S T U V W X
- Angstrom
- Abbreviated �. A unit of length equal to 10-8 cm (one-hundredth of
a millionth of a centimeter). An Angstrom is on the order of the size of an atom.
- Arc Degree
- A unit of angular measure in which there are 360 arc degrees in a full circle.
- Arc Second
- Abbreviated arcsec. A unit of angular measure in which there are 60 arc seconds in 1 arc minute and therefore 3600 arc seconds in 1 arc degree. One arc second is equal to about 725 km on the Sun.
- Aurora
- A colorful, rapidly varying glow in the sky caused by the collision of charged particles in the magnetosphere with atoms in the Earth's upper atmosphere. Auroras are most often observed at high latitudes and are enhanced during geomagnetic storms.
- Black Hole
- A region of space that has so much mass concentrated in it that there is no way for a
nearby object to escape its gravitational pull.
- Bremsstrahlung
- Radiation that is emitted when a free electron is deflected by an ion, but the
free electron is not captured by the ion. Generally, it is a type of radiation emitted
when high energy electrons are accelerated. (German for braking radiation)
- CGS
- Centimeter-Gram-Second (abbreviated cm-gm-sec or cm-g-s). The system
of measurement that uses these units for distance, mass, and time.
- Chromosphere
- The layer of the solar atmosphere that is located above
the photosphere and beneath the transition region and the corona. The chromosphere is hotter than the photosphere but not as hot
as the corona.
- Contour Map
- A map showing the intensity of radiation as a function of position. Each contour line
corresponds to a specific intensity of radiation, with inner contours corresponding to
higher intensities than outer contours. Therefore, a closed contour encircles a region
where the intensity of the emitted radiation is greater than or equal to the intensity on
the contour line. The contours outline the shape of the emitting source.
- Convection
- The physical upwelling of hot matter, thus transporting energy from a lower, hotter
region to a higher, cooler region. A bubble of gas that is hotter than its surroundings
expands and rises. When it has cooled by passing on its extra heat to its surroundings,
the bubble sinks again. Convection can occur when there is a substantial decrease in
temperature with height, such as in the Sun's convection zone.
- Convection Zone
- A layer in a star in which convection currents are the main
mechanism by which energy is transported outward. In the Sun, a convection zone extends
from just below the photosphere to about seventy percent of the
solar radius.
- Corona
- The outermost layer of the solar atmosphere. The corona consists of a highly rarefied
gas with a low density and a temperature greater than one million degrees Kelvin. It is visible to the naked eye during a solar eclipse.
- Density
- The amount of mass or number of particles per unit volume. In cgs
units mass density has units of gm cm-3. Number density has units cm-3
(particles per cubic centimeter).
- Electromagnetic Radiation
- Radiation that travels through vacuous space at the speed of light and propagates by the
interplay of oscillating electric and magnetic fields. This
radiation has a wavelength and a frequency.
- Electromagnetic Spectrum
- The entire range of all the various kinds or wavelengths of electromagnetic radiation, including (from short to
long wavelengths) gamma rays, x-rays,
ultraviolet, optical (visible), infrared, and radio waves.
- Electron
- A negatively charged elementary particle that normally resides outside (but is bound to)
the nucleus of an atom.
- Electron Flux
- The rate of flow of electrons through a reference surface. In cgs
units, measured in electrons s-1, or simply s-1.
- Electron Volt
- Abbreviated eV. A unit of energy used to describe the total energy carried by a
particle or photon. The energy acquired by an electron
when it accelerates through a potential difference of 1 volt in a vacuum. 1 eV = 1.6 x 10-12
erg.
- Energy Flux
- The rate of flow of energy through a reference surface. In cgs units,
measured in erg s-1. Also measured in watts, where 1 watt =
1 x 107 erg s-1. Flux density, the flux measured per unit
area, is also often referred to as "flux".
- Erg
- A cgs unit of energy equal to work done by a force of 1 dyne acting
over a distance of 1 cm.
107 (ten million) erg s-1 (ergs per second) = 1 watt. Also, 1 Calorie = 4.2 x 1010 (42 billion) ergs.
- Flare (Solar)
- Rapid release of energy from a localized region on the Sun in the form of electromagnetic radiation, energetic particles, and
mass motions.
- Flare Star
- A member of a class of stars that show occasional, sudden, unpredicted increases in
light. The total energy released in a flare on a flare star can be much greater that the
energy released in a solar flare.
- Footpoint
- The intersection of magnetic loops with the photosphere.
- Free Electron
- An electron that has broken free of it's atomic bond and is
therefore not bound to an atom.
- Frequency
- The number of repetitions per unit time of the oscillations of an electromagnetic wave (or other wave). The higher the
frequency, the greater the energy of the radiation and the smaller the wavelength. Frequency is measured in Hertz.
- Gamma Ray
- The highest energy (shortest wavelength) photons
in the electromagnetic spectrum. Gamma rays are
often defined to begin at 10 keV, although radiation from around 10 keV
to several hundred keV is also referred to as hard x-rays.
- Geomagnetic Storm
- A worldwide disturbance of the Earth's magnetic
field, associated with solar activity.
- Geosynchronous Orbit
- The orbit of a satellite that travels above the Earth's equator from west
to east so that it has a speed matching that of the Earth's rotation and remains
stationary in relation to the Earth (also called geostationary). Such an orbit has an
altitude of about 35,900 km (22,300 miles).
- Hertz
- Abbreviated Hz. A unit of frequency equal to one cycle per second. One kHz =
1000 Hz. One MHz = 106 (one million) Hz. One GHz = 109 Hz.
- Hydromagnetic Wave
- A wave in which both the plasma and magnetic
field oscillate.
- Intensity Map
- A color-coded map of radiation intensity as a function of position. Different colors or
shades represent different intensities of observed radiation.
- Ion
- An atom that has lost or gained one or more electrons and has
become electrically charged as a result.
- Ionization
- The process by which ions are produced, typically occurring by
collisions with atoms or electrons ("collisional
ionization"), or by interaction with electromagnetic
radiation ("photoionization").
- Ionosphere
- The region of the Earth's upper atmosphere containing a small percentage of free electrons and ions produced by photoionization of the constituents of the atmosphere by solar
ultraviolet radiation. The ionosphere significantly influences radiowave propagation of frequencies less than about
30 MHz.
- Isotope
- One of two or more atoms having the same number of protons in its nucleus, but a different number of neutrons
and, therefore, a different mass.
- Kelvin
- Abbreviated K. A unit of absolute temperature. Zero degrees Celsius is equal to
273.16 Kelvin.
- keV
- One thousand electron volts.
- Kilometer
- Abbreviated km. 1 km = 1000 meters = 105 cm = 0.62 mile.
- Magnetic Field
- A field of force that is generated by electric currents. The Sun's average large-scale
magnetic field, like that of the Earth, exhibits a north and a south pole linked by lines
of magnetic force.
- Magnetic Field Lines
- Imaginary lines that indicate the strength and direction of a magnetic field. The orientation of the line and an arrow show the direction of the field. The lines are drawn closer together where the field is stronger. Charged particles move freely along magnetic field lines, but are inhibited by the magnetic force from moving across field lines.
- Magnetosphere
- The region around a planet such as the Earth within which the motion of charged particles is influenced by the planet's magnetic field. The Earth's magnetosphere consists of a dipole field, similar to that of a bar magnet, and a long tail on the night side produced by the interaction of the solar wind with the Earth's magnetic field.
- Megaton
- An explosive force equal to one million metric tons of TNT. The energy released in the
explosion of one megaton of TNT is equal to 4.2 x 1022 ergs.
- MeV
- One million electron volts.
- Neutron
- An electrically neutral elementary particle. A neutron is 1839 times heavier than an electron.
- Nonthermal Particle
- A particle that is not part of a thermal gas. These particles
cannot be described by a conventional temperature.
- Nonthermal Radiation
- Radiation emitted by nonthermal electrons.
- Nucleus
- The positively charged core of an atom, consisting of protons and neutrons (except for hydrogen), around which electrons
orbit.
- Optical Radiation
- Electromagnetic radiation (light) that is
visible to the human eye.
- Orbital Period
- The amount of time it takes a spacecraft or other object to travel once around it's
orbit.
- Photon
- A discrete quantity of electromagnetic energy. Short wavelength
(high frequency) photons carry more energy than long wavelength (low frequency)
photons. See Electromagnetic Radiation.
- Photosphere
- The visible surface of the Sun. It consists of a zone in which the gaseous layers change
from being completely opaque to radiation to being transparent. It is the layer from which
the light we actually see (with the human eye) is emitted.
- Plasma
- Plasma consists of a gas heated to sufficiently high temperatures that the atoms ionize. The properties of the gas are controlled by electromagnetic
forces among constituent ions and electrons,
which results in a different type of behavior. Plasma is often considered the fourth state
of matter (besides solid, liquid, and gas). Most of the matter in the Universe is in the
plasma state.
- Poloidal Radius
- The radius of the actual loop structure. For a doughnut, it is measured from the center
to the edge of the pastry (not from the center of the hole). See also Toroidal Radius.
- Proton
- A positively charged elementary particle. A proton is 1836 times heavier than an electron.
- Pulsar
- A neutron star (burnt-out star) that emits radio waves which pulse on and off.
- Quasar
- A faint blue, star-like object commonly considered to be extremely distant, probably an
unusual nucleus of a galaxy. It has a tendency to flare.
- Radiation Belt
- A ring-shaped region around a planet in which electrically charged particles (usually electrons and protons) are trapped. The
particles follow spiral trajectories around the direction of the magnetic
field of the planet. The radiation belts surrounding Earth are known as the Van Allen belts.
- Solar Atmosphere
- The atmosphere of the Sun. An atmosphere is generally the outermost gaseous layers of a
planet, natural satellite, or star. Only bodies with a strong gravitational pull can
retain an atmosphere. Atmosphere is used to describe the outer layer of the Sun because it
is relatively transparent at visible wavelengths. Parts of the
solar atmosphere include the photosphere, chromosphere, and the corona.
- Solar Limb
- The apparent edge of the Sun as it is seen in the sky.
- Solar Wind
- A stream of charged particles flowing outward from the Sun's corona. The speed of the solar wind at the Earth is typically 450 kilometers per second, but varies from about 200 kilometers per second to 900 kilometers per second.
- South Atlantic Anomaly
- The region over the South Atlantic Ocean where the lower Van
Allen belt of energetic, electrically charged particles is particularly close to the
Earth's surface. The excess energy in the particles presents a problem for satellites in
orbit around the Earth.
- Spectral Line
- A line in a spectrum due to the emission or absorption of electromagnetic radiation at a discrete wavelength. Spectral lines result from discrete changes in the
energy of an atom or molecule. Different atoms or molecules can be identified by the
unique sequence of spectral lines associated with them.
- Spectrograph
- An instrument that spreads light or other electromagnetic
radiation into its component wavelengths (spectrum),
recording the results photographically or electronically.
- Spectrometer
- An instrument for measuring the intensity of radiation as a function of wavelength. See Spectrograph.
- Spectrum
- Electromagnetic radiation arranged in order of wavelength. A rainbow is a natural spectrum of visible light from
the Sun. Spectra are often punctuated with emission or absorption lines, which can be
examined to reveal the composition and motion of the radiating source.
- Sunspot
- A temporary disturbed area in the solar photosphere that
appears dark because it is cooler than the surrounding areas. Sunspots consist of
concentrations of strong magnetic flux. They usually occur
in pairs or groups of opposite polarity that move in unison across the face of the Sun as
it rotates.
- Surface Plot
- A three-dimensional plot mapping the intensity of radiation from a region as a distorted
surface. More intense radiation is represented by higher points on the surface. Therefore,
regions of intense radiation resemble mountains on the earth.
- Thermal Gas
- A collection of particles that collide with each other and exchange energy frequently,
giving a distribution of particle energies that can be characterized by a single
temperature.
- Thermal Particle
- A particle that is part of a thermal gas.
- Thermal Radiation
- Electromagnetic radiation emitted by electrons in a thermal gas.
- Thermonuclear Fusion
- The combination of atomic nuclei at high temperatures to form
more massive nuclei with the simultaneous release of energy. Thermonuclear fusion
is the power source at the core of the Sun. Controlled thermonuclear fusion reactors, when
successfully implemented, could become an attractive source of power on the Earth.
- Toroidal Radius
- In a solar loop structure, it is the distance from the axis of the loop to the center of the "semi-circle" that the loop forms. Half of the distance from one loop footpoint to the other loop footpoint. For a doughnut, it is the distance from the center of the doughnut hole to the center (circular axis) of the pastry. See also Poloidal Radius.
- Ultraviolet Radiation
- Electromagnetic radiation with a wavelength shorter than that of visible light, but longer than x-rays.
- Universal Time
- Abbreviated UT. The same as Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) in England. Eastern
Standard Time (EST) is five hours earlier than Universal Time.
- Van Allen Belts
- Two ring-shaped regions that girdle the Earth's equator in which electrically charged
particles are trapped by the Earth's magnetic field. See South Atlantic Anomaly or radiation
belts.
- Wavelength
- The distance from crest to crest or trough to trough of an electromagnetic wave (see electromagnetic radiation) or other wave.
- White Light
- Visible light that includes all colors and, therefore, all visible wavelengths.
- X-ray
- The part of the electromagnetic spectrum whose
radiation has somewhat greater frequencies and smaller wavelengths than those of ultraviolet radiation. Because x-rays are
absorbed by the Earth's atmosphere, x-ray astronomy is performed in space.
Web Author: Gordon Holman
Web Author: Sarah Benedict
Responsible NASA Official: Gordon D. Holman,
Heliophysics Science Division
NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center
Solar Physics Laboratory / Code 671
Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
Gordon.D.Holman@nasa.gov
Web Author: Sarah Benedict
Responsible NASA Official: Gordon D. Holman,
Heliophysics Science Division
NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center
Solar Physics Laboratory / Code 671
Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
Gordon.D.Holman@nasa.gov
What is a Solar Flare?
What is a Solar Flare?
A flare is defined as a sudden,
rapid, and intense variation in brightness. A solar flare occurs when magnetic energy that has built up in the
solar
atmosphere is suddenly released.
Radiation is emitted
across virtually the entire electromagnetic
spectrum, from radio waves at
the long wavelength end,
through optical emission to x-rays and gamma rays at the short wavelength end. The amount of energy
released is the equivalent of millions of 100-megaton hydrogen bombs exploding at the same time! The first
solar flare recorded in astronomical literature was on September
1, 1859. Two scientists, Richard C. Carrington and Richard
Hodgson, were independently observing sunspots at the time, when they viewed a large flare in white light.
Soft x-ray image of a solar
flare on the Sun
As the magnetic energy is being released,
particles, including electrons, protons, and heavy nuclei, are heated
and accelerated in the solar atmosphere. The energy released
during a flare is typically on the order of 1027
ergs per second. Large flares can emit up to 1032
ergs of energy. This energy is ten million times greater than the
energy released from a volcanic explosion. On the other hand, it
is less than one-tenth of the total energy emitted by the Sun
every second. There are typically three stages to a solar flare. First is the precursor stage, where the release of magnetic energy is triggered. Soft x-ray emission is detected in this stage. In the second or impulsive stage, protons and electrons are accelerated to energies exceeding 1 MeV. During the impulsive stage, radio waves, hard x-rays, and gamma rays are emitted. The gradual build up and decay of soft x-rays can be detected in the third, decay stage. The duration of these stages can be as short as a few seconds or as long as an hour.
Solar flares extend out to the layer of the Sun called the corona. The corona is the outermost atmosphere of the Sun, consisting of highly rarefied gas. This gas normally has a temperature of a few million degrees Kelvin. Inside a flare, the temperature typically reaches 10 or 20 million degrees Kelvin, and can be as high as 100 million degrees Kelvin. The corona is visible in soft x-rays, as in the above image. Notice that the corona is not uniformly bright, but is concentrated around the solar equator in loop-shaped features. These bright loops are located within and connect areas of strong magnetic field called active regions. Sunspots are located within these active regions. Solar flares occur in active regions.
The frequency of flares coincides with the Sun's eleven year cycle. When the solar cycle is at a minimum, active regions are small and rare and few solar flares are detected. These increase in number as the Sun approaches the maximum part of its cycle. The Sun will reach its next maximum in the year 2011, give or take one year.
A person cannot view a solar flare by simply staring at the Sun. (NEVER LOOK DIRECTLY AT THE SUN! EYE DAMAGE CAN RESULT.) Flares are in fact difficult to see against the bright emission from the photosphere. Instead, specialized scientific instruments are used to detect the radiation signatures emitted during a flare. The radio and optical emissions from flares can be observed with telescopes on the Earth. Energetic emissions such as x-rays and gamma rays require telescopes located in space, since these emissions do not penetrate the Earth's atmosphere.
The enigmatic Sun: a crucible for new physics
CERN Courier
May 20, 2008
The enigmatic Sun: a crucible for new physics
The nearest star to Earth harbours a surprising
number of unexplained phenomena, despite its proximity. Could
astroparticle physics, and in particular particles like the charismatic
axion, hold the key? Konstantin Zioutas believes that they could.
Résumé
Les énigmes du Soleil : un creuset pour la nouvelle physique
Bien que proche de la Terre, le Soleil recèle encore des phénomènes inexpliqués. La couronne solaire est particulièrement énigmatique : Pourquoi est-elle si chaude ? Quelle est la cause des éruptions solaires à proximité de la tache solaire ? Ces phénomènes pourraient être expliqués par la présence de curieuses particules hypothétiques appelées axions ou de particules analogues. Selon de nouvelles idées sur les axions solaires, certaines régions présentant des champs magnétiques solaires très élevés pourraient subir une mutation axion-photon efficace, conduisant à l’apparition soudaine de photons à partir des axions déversés par le Soleil. Ces nouvelles idées ont une incidence sur les observations du Soleil.
The Sun, a typical middle-aged star, is the most important astronomical body for life on Earth, and since ancient times its phenomena have had a key role in revealing new physics. Answering the question of why the Sun moves across the sky led to the heliocentric planetary model, replacing the ancient geocentric system and foreshadowing the laws of gravity. In 1783 a sun-like star led the Revd John Mitchell to the idea of the black hole, and in 1919 the bending of starlight by the Sun was a triumphant demonstration of general relativity. The Sun even provides a laboratory for subatomic physics. The understanding that it shines by nuclear fusion grew out of the nuclear physics of the 1930s; more recently the solution to the solar neutrino "deficit" problem has implied new physics.
This progress in science, triggered by the seemingly pedestrian Sun, seems set to continue, as a variety of solar phenomena still defy theoretical understanding. It may be that one answer lies in astroparticle physics and the curious hypothetical particle known as the axion. Neutral, light, and very weakly interacting, this particle was proposed more than 25 years ago to explain the absence of charge-parity (CP) symmetry violation in the strong interaction (CERN Courier July/August 2006 p19).
So what are the problems with the Sun? These lie, perhaps surprisingly, with the more visible, outermost layers, which have been observed for hundreds, if not thousands, of years.
First, why is the corona – the Sun’s atmosphere with a density of only a few nanograms per cubic metre – so hot, with a temperature of millions of degrees? This question has challenged astronomers since Walter Grotrian, of the Astrophysikalisches Observatorium in Potsdam, discovered the corona in the 1930s. Within a few hundred kilometres, the temperature rises to be about 500 times that of the underlying chromosphere, instead of continuing to fall to the temperature of empty space (2.7 K). While the flux of extreme ultraviolet photons and X-rays from the higher layers is some five orders of magnitude less than the flux from the photosphere (the visible surface), it is nevertheless surprisingly high and inconsistent with the spectrum from a black body with the temperature of the photosphere (figure 1). Thus, some unconventional physics must be at work, since heat cannot run spontaneously from cooler to hotter places. In short, everything above the photosphere should not be there at all.
Another question is how does the corona continuously accelerate the solar wind of some thousand million tonnes of gas per second at speeds as high as 800 km/s? The same puzzle holds for the transient but dramatic coronal mass ejections (CMEs). How and where is the required energy stored, and how are the ejections triggered? This question is probably related to the mystery of coronal heating. And what is it that triggers solar flares, which heat the solar atmosphere locally up to about 10 to 30 million degrees, similar to the high temperature of the core, some 700,000 km beneath? These unpredictable events appear to be like violent "explosions" occurring near sunspots in the lower corona. This suggests magnetic energy as their main energy source, but how is the energy stored and how is it released so rapidly and efficiently within seconds? Even though many details are known, new observations call into question the 40-year-old standard model for solar flares, which 150 years after their discovery still remain a major enigma.
On the Sun’s surface, what is it that causes the 11-year solar cycle of sunspots and solar activity? This seems to be the biggest of all solar mysteries, since it involves the oscillation of the huge "magnets" of a few kilogauss on the face of the Sun, ranging from 300 to 100,000 km in size. The origin of sunspots has been one of the great puzzles of astrophysics since Galileo Galilei first observed them in the early 1600s. Their rhythmic comings and goings, first measured by the apothecary Samuel Heinrich Schwabe in 1826, could be the key to understanding the unpredictable Sun, since everything in the solar atmosphere varies in step with this magnetic cycle.
Beneath the Sun’s surface, the contradiction between solar spectroscopy and the refined solar interior models provided by helioseismology has revived the question about the heavy-element composition of the Sun, with new abundances some 25 to 35% lower than before. Abundances vary from place to place and from time to time in the Sun, and are enhanced near flares, showing an intriguing dependence on the square of the magnetic intensity in these regions. The so-called "solar oxygen crisis" or "solar model problem" is thus pointing at some non-standard physical process or processes that occur only in the solar atmosphere, and with some built-in magnetic sensor.
These are just some of the most striking solar mysteries, each crying out for an explanation. So can astroparticle physics help? The answer could be "yes", using a scenario in which axions, or particles like axions, are created and converted to photons in regions of high magnetic fields or by their spontaneous decay.
The expectation from particle physics is that axions should couple to electromagnetic fields, just as neutral pions do in the Primakoff effect known since 1951, which regards the production of pions by high-energy photons as the reverse of the decay into two photons. Interestingly, axions could even couple coherently to macroscopic magnetic fields, giving rise to axion–photon oscillation, as the axions produce photons and vice versa. The process is further enhanced in a suitably dense plasma, which can increase the coherence length. This means that the huge solar magnetic fields could provide regions for efficient axion–photon mutation, leading to the sudden appearance of photons from axions streaming out from the Sun’s interior. The photosphere and solar atmosphere near sunspots are the most likely magnetic regions for this process to become "visible", as the material above is transparent to emerging photons.
According to this scenario, the Sun should be emitting axions, or axion-like particles, with energies reflecting the temperature of the source. Thus one or more extended sources of new low-energy particles (below around 1 keV), and the ubiquitous solar magnetic fields of strengths varying from around 0.5 T, as measured at the surface, up to 100 T or much more in the interior, might together give rise to the apparently enigmatic behaviour of a star like the Sun.
Conventional solar axion models, inspired by QCD, have one small source of particles in the solar core, with an energy spectrum that peaks at 4 to 5 keV. They therefore exclude the low energies where the solar mysteries predominantly occur. This immediately suggests an extended axion "horizon". Experiments to detect solar axions – axion helioscopes such as the CERN Solar Axion Telescope (CAST) – should widen their dynamic range towards lower energies, in order to enter this new territory.
The revised solar axion scenario must also accommodate two components of photon emission, namely, a continuous inward emission together, occasionally, with an outward radiation pressure. Massive and light axion-like particles, both of which have been proposed, can provide these thermodynamically unexpected inward and outward photons respectively. They offer an exotic but still simple solution, given the Sun’s complexity.
The emerging picture is that the transition region (TR) between the chromosphere and the corona (which is only about 100 km thick and only some 2000 km above the solar surface) is the manifestation of a space and time dependent balance between the two photon emissions. However, the almost equally probable disappearance of photons into axion-like particles in a magnetic environment must also be taken into account in understanding the solar puzzles. The TR could be the most spectacular place in the Sun, since it is where the mysterious temperature inversion appears, while flares, CMEs and other violent phenomena originate near the TR.
Astrophysicists generally consider the ubiquitous solar magnetism to be the key to understanding the Sun. The magnetic field appears to play a crucial role in heating up the corona, but the process by which it is converted into heat and other forms of energy remains an unsolved problem. In the new scenario, the generally accepted properties of the radiative decay of particles like axions and their coupling to magnetic fields are the device to resolve the problem – in effect, a real "απó μηχανηζ θεóζ" (the deus ex machina of Greek tragedy). The magnetic field is no longer the energy source, but is just the catalyst for the axions to become photons, and vice versa.
The precise mechanism for enhancing axion–photon mutation in the Sun that this picture requires remains elusive and challenging. One aim is to reproduce it in axion experiments. CAST, for example, seeks to detect photons created by the conversion of solar axions in the 9 T field of a prototype superconducting LHC dipole (CERN Courier March 2005 p7). However, the process depends on the unknown mass of the axion. Every day the CAST experiment changes the density of the gas inside the two tubes in the magnet in an attempt to match the velocity of the solar axion with that of the emerging photon propagating in the refractive gas.
It is reasonable to assume that fine tuning of this kind in relation to the axion mass might also occur in the restless magnetic Sun. If the energy corresponding to the plasma frequency equals the axion rest mass, the axion-to-photon coherent interaction will increase steeply with the product of the square of the coherence length and the transverse magnetic field strength. Since solar plasma densities and/or magnetic fields change continuously, such a "resonance crossing" could result in an otherwise unexpected photon excess or deficit, manifesting itself in a variety of ways, for example, locally as a hot or cold plasma. Only a quantum electrodynamics that incorporates an axion-like field can accommodate such transient brightening as well as dimming (among many other unexpected observations).
These ideas also have implications for the better tuning not only of CAST, but also of orbiting telescopes such as the Japanese satellite Hinode (formerly Solar B), NASA’s Reuven Ramaty High Energy Solar Spectroscopic Imager and the NASA–ESA Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, which have been transformed recently to promising axion helioscopes, following suggestions by CERN’s Luigi di Lella among others. The joint Japan–US–UK mission Yohkoh has also joined the axion hunt, even though it ceased operation in 2001, by making its data freely available (figure 2).
The revised axion scenario therefore seems to fit as an explanation for most (if not all) solar mysteries. Such effects can provide signatures for new physics as direct and as significant as those from laboratory experiments, even though they are generally considered as indirect; the history of solar neutrinos is the best example of this kind.
Following these ideas and others on millicharged particles, paraphotons or any other weakly interacting sub-electron-volt particles, axion-like exotica will mean that the Sun’s visible surface – and probably not its core – holds the key to its secrets. As in neutrino physics, the multifaceted Sun, from its deep interior to the outer corona and the solar wind, could be the best laboratory for axion physics and the like. The Sun, the most powerful accelerator in the solar system, whose working principle is not yet understood, has not been as active as it is now for some 11,000 years. Is this an opportunity not to be missed?
Les énigmes du Soleil : un creuset pour la nouvelle physique
Bien que proche de la Terre, le Soleil recèle encore des phénomènes inexpliqués. La couronne solaire est particulièrement énigmatique : Pourquoi est-elle si chaude ? Quelle est la cause des éruptions solaires à proximité de la tache solaire ? Ces phénomènes pourraient être expliqués par la présence de curieuses particules hypothétiques appelées axions ou de particules analogues. Selon de nouvelles idées sur les axions solaires, certaines régions présentant des champs magnétiques solaires très élevés pourraient subir une mutation axion-photon efficace, conduisant à l’apparition soudaine de photons à partir des axions déversés par le Soleil. Ces nouvelles idées ont une incidence sur les observations du Soleil.
The Sun, a typical middle-aged star, is the most important astronomical body for life on Earth, and since ancient times its phenomena have had a key role in revealing new physics. Answering the question of why the Sun moves across the sky led to the heliocentric planetary model, replacing the ancient geocentric system and foreshadowing the laws of gravity. In 1783 a sun-like star led the Revd John Mitchell to the idea of the black hole, and in 1919 the bending of starlight by the Sun was a triumphant demonstration of general relativity. The Sun even provides a laboratory for subatomic physics. The understanding that it shines by nuclear fusion grew out of the nuclear physics of the 1930s; more recently the solution to the solar neutrino "deficit" problem has implied new physics.
This progress in science, triggered by the seemingly pedestrian Sun, seems set to continue, as a variety of solar phenomena still defy theoretical understanding. It may be that one answer lies in astroparticle physics and the curious hypothetical particle known as the axion. Neutral, light, and very weakly interacting, this particle was proposed more than 25 years ago to explain the absence of charge-parity (CP) symmetry violation in the strong interaction (CERN Courier July/August 2006 p19).
So what are the problems with the Sun? These lie, perhaps surprisingly, with the more visible, outermost layers, which have been observed for hundreds, if not thousands, of years.
First, why is the corona – the Sun’s atmosphere with a density of only a few nanograms per cubic metre – so hot, with a temperature of millions of degrees? This question has challenged astronomers since Walter Grotrian, of the Astrophysikalisches Observatorium in Potsdam, discovered the corona in the 1930s. Within a few hundred kilometres, the temperature rises to be about 500 times that of the underlying chromosphere, instead of continuing to fall to the temperature of empty space (2.7 K). While the flux of extreme ultraviolet photons and X-rays from the higher layers is some five orders of magnitude less than the flux from the photosphere (the visible surface), it is nevertheless surprisingly high and inconsistent with the spectrum from a black body with the temperature of the photosphere (figure 1). Thus, some unconventional physics must be at work, since heat cannot run spontaneously from cooler to hotter places. In short, everything above the photosphere should not be there at all.
Another question is how does the corona continuously accelerate the solar wind of some thousand million tonnes of gas per second at speeds as high as 800 km/s? The same puzzle holds for the transient but dramatic coronal mass ejections (CMEs). How and where is the required energy stored, and how are the ejections triggered? This question is probably related to the mystery of coronal heating. And what is it that triggers solar flares, which heat the solar atmosphere locally up to about 10 to 30 million degrees, similar to the high temperature of the core, some 700,000 km beneath? These unpredictable events appear to be like violent "explosions" occurring near sunspots in the lower corona. This suggests magnetic energy as their main energy source, but how is the energy stored and how is it released so rapidly and efficiently within seconds? Even though many details are known, new observations call into question the 40-year-old standard model for solar flares, which 150 years after their discovery still remain a major enigma.
On the Sun’s surface, what is it that causes the 11-year solar cycle of sunspots and solar activity? This seems to be the biggest of all solar mysteries, since it involves the oscillation of the huge "magnets" of a few kilogauss on the face of the Sun, ranging from 300 to 100,000 km in size. The origin of sunspots has been one of the great puzzles of astrophysics since Galileo Galilei first observed them in the early 1600s. Their rhythmic comings and goings, first measured by the apothecary Samuel Heinrich Schwabe in 1826, could be the key to understanding the unpredictable Sun, since everything in the solar atmosphere varies in step with this magnetic cycle.
Beneath the Sun’s surface, the contradiction between solar spectroscopy and the refined solar interior models provided by helioseismology has revived the question about the heavy-element composition of the Sun, with new abundances some 25 to 35% lower than before. Abundances vary from place to place and from time to time in the Sun, and are enhanced near flares, showing an intriguing dependence on the square of the magnetic intensity in these regions. The so-called "solar oxygen crisis" or "solar model problem" is thus pointing at some non-standard physical process or processes that occur only in the solar atmosphere, and with some built-in magnetic sensor.
These are just some of the most striking solar mysteries, each crying out for an explanation. So can astroparticle physics help? The answer could be "yes", using a scenario in which axions, or particles like axions, are created and converted to photons in regions of high magnetic fields or by their spontaneous decay.
The expectation from particle physics is that axions should couple to electromagnetic fields, just as neutral pions do in the Primakoff effect known since 1951, which regards the production of pions by high-energy photons as the reverse of the decay into two photons. Interestingly, axions could even couple coherently to macroscopic magnetic fields, giving rise to axion–photon oscillation, as the axions produce photons and vice versa. The process is further enhanced in a suitably dense plasma, which can increase the coherence length. This means that the huge solar magnetic fields could provide regions for efficient axion–photon mutation, leading to the sudden appearance of photons from axions streaming out from the Sun’s interior. The photosphere and solar atmosphere near sunspots are the most likely magnetic regions for this process to become "visible", as the material above is transparent to emerging photons.
According to this scenario, the Sun should be emitting axions, or axion-like particles, with energies reflecting the temperature of the source. Thus one or more extended sources of new low-energy particles (below around 1 keV), and the ubiquitous solar magnetic fields of strengths varying from around 0.5 T, as measured at the surface, up to 100 T or much more in the interior, might together give rise to the apparently enigmatic behaviour of a star like the Sun.
Conventional solar axion models, inspired by QCD, have one small source of particles in the solar core, with an energy spectrum that peaks at 4 to 5 keV. They therefore exclude the low energies where the solar mysteries predominantly occur. This immediately suggests an extended axion "horizon". Experiments to detect solar axions – axion helioscopes such as the CERN Solar Axion Telescope (CAST) – should widen their dynamic range towards lower energies, in order to enter this new territory.
The revised solar axion scenario must also accommodate two components of photon emission, namely, a continuous inward emission together, occasionally, with an outward radiation pressure. Massive and light axion-like particles, both of which have been proposed, can provide these thermodynamically unexpected inward and outward photons respectively. They offer an exotic but still simple solution, given the Sun’s complexity.
The emerging picture is that the transition region (TR) between the chromosphere and the corona (which is only about 100 km thick and only some 2000 km above the solar surface) is the manifestation of a space and time dependent balance between the two photon emissions. However, the almost equally probable disappearance of photons into axion-like particles in a magnetic environment must also be taken into account in understanding the solar puzzles. The TR could be the most spectacular place in the Sun, since it is where the mysterious temperature inversion appears, while flares, CMEs and other violent phenomena originate near the TR.
Astrophysicists generally consider the ubiquitous solar magnetism to be the key to understanding the Sun. The magnetic field appears to play a crucial role in heating up the corona, but the process by which it is converted into heat and other forms of energy remains an unsolved problem. In the new scenario, the generally accepted properties of the radiative decay of particles like axions and their coupling to magnetic fields are the device to resolve the problem – in effect, a real "απó μηχανηζ θεóζ" (the deus ex machina of Greek tragedy). The magnetic field is no longer the energy source, but is just the catalyst for the axions to become photons, and vice versa.
The precise mechanism for enhancing axion–photon mutation in the Sun that this picture requires remains elusive and challenging. One aim is to reproduce it in axion experiments. CAST, for example, seeks to detect photons created by the conversion of solar axions in the 9 T field of a prototype superconducting LHC dipole (CERN Courier March 2005 p7). However, the process depends on the unknown mass of the axion. Every day the CAST experiment changes the density of the gas inside the two tubes in the magnet in an attempt to match the velocity of the solar axion with that of the emerging photon propagating in the refractive gas.
It is reasonable to assume that fine tuning of this kind in relation to the axion mass might also occur in the restless magnetic Sun. If the energy corresponding to the plasma frequency equals the axion rest mass, the axion-to-photon coherent interaction will increase steeply with the product of the square of the coherence length and the transverse magnetic field strength. Since solar plasma densities and/or magnetic fields change continuously, such a "resonance crossing" could result in an otherwise unexpected photon excess or deficit, manifesting itself in a variety of ways, for example, locally as a hot or cold plasma. Only a quantum electrodynamics that incorporates an axion-like field can accommodate such transient brightening as well as dimming (among many other unexpected observations).
These ideas also have implications for the better tuning not only of CAST, but also of orbiting telescopes such as the Japanese satellite Hinode (formerly Solar B), NASA’s Reuven Ramaty High Energy Solar Spectroscopic Imager and the NASA–ESA Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, which have been transformed recently to promising axion helioscopes, following suggestions by CERN’s Luigi di Lella among others. The joint Japan–US–UK mission Yohkoh has also joined the axion hunt, even though it ceased operation in 2001, by making its data freely available (figure 2).
The revised axion scenario therefore seems to fit as an explanation for most (if not all) solar mysteries. Such effects can provide signatures for new physics as direct and as significant as those from laboratory experiments, even though they are generally considered as indirect; the history of solar neutrinos is the best example of this kind.
Following these ideas and others on millicharged particles, paraphotons or any other weakly interacting sub-electron-volt particles, axion-like exotica will mean that the Sun’s visible surface – and probably not its core – holds the key to its secrets. As in neutrino physics, the multifaceted Sun, from its deep interior to the outer corona and the solar wind, could be the best laboratory for axion physics and the like. The Sun, the most powerful accelerator in the solar system, whose working principle is not yet understood, has not been as active as it is now for some 11,000 years. Is this an opportunity not to be missed?
About the author
Konstantin Zioutas, University of Patras and CERN.Solar variation
Solar variation
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Solar variation is the change in the amount of radiation emitted by the Sun (see Solar radiation)
and in its spectral distribution over years to millennia. These
variations have periodic components, the main one being the
approximately 11-year solar cycle (or sunspot cycle). The changes also have aperiodic fluctuations.[1] In recent decades, solar activity has been measured by satellites, while before it was estimated using 'proxy' variables. Scientists studying climate change are interested in understanding the effects of variations in the total and spectral solar irradiance on Earth and its climate.Variations in total solar irradiance were too small to detect with technology available before the satellite era, although the small fraction in ultra-violet light has recently been found to vary significantly more than previously thought over the course of a solar cycle.[2] Total solar output is now measured to vary (over the last three 11-year sunspot cycles) by approximately 0.1%,[3][4][5] or about 1.3 Watts per square meter (W/m2) peak-to-trough from solar maximum to solar minimum during the 11-year sunspot cycle. The amount of solar radiation received at the outer limits of Earth's atmosphere averages 1366 W/m2.[1][6][7] There are no direct measurements of the longer-term variation, and interpretations of proxy measures of variations differ. The intensity of solar radiation reaching Earth has been relatively constant through the last 2000 years, with variations estimated at around 0.1–0.2%.[8][9][10] Solar variation, together with volcanic activity are hypothesized to have contributed to climate change, for example during the Maunder Minimum. Changes in solar brightness are considered to be too weak to explain recent climate change.[11]
Contents
- 1 History of study into solar variations
- 2 Solar activity and irradiance measurement
- 3 Solar interactions with Earth
- 4 Other effects due to solar variation
- 5 Solar variation and climate
- 6 See also
- 7 References
- 8 External links
History of study into solar variations
400 year history of sunspot numbers.
Around 1900, researchers began to explore connections between solar variations and weather on Earth. Of particular note is the work of Charles Greeley Abbot. Abbot was assigned by the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory (SAO) to detect changes in the radiation of the Sun. His team had to begin by inventing instruments to measure solar radiation. Later, when Abbot was head of the SAO, it established a solar station at Calama, Chile to complement its data from Mount Wilson Observatory. He detected 27 harmonic periods within the 273-month Hale cycles, including 7, 13, and 39-month patterns. He looked for connections to weather by means such as matching opposing solar trends during a month to opposing temperature and precipitation trends in cities. With the advent of dendrochronology, scientists such as Waldo S. Glock attempted to connect variation in tree growth to periodic solar variations in the extant record and infer long-term secular variability in the solar constant from similar variations in millennial-scale chronologies.[14]
Statistical studies that correlate weather and climate with solar activity have been popular for centuries, dating back at least to 1801, when William Herschel noted an apparent connection between wheat prices and sunspot records.[15] They now often involve high-density global datasets compiled from surface networks and weather satellite observations and/or the forcing of climate models with synthetic or observed solar variability to investigate the detailed processes by which the effects of solar variations propagate through the Earth's climate system.[16]
Solar activity and irradiance measurement
Direct irradiance measurements have only been available during the last three cycles and are based on a composite of many different observing satellites.[1][17] However, the correlation between irradiance measurements and other proxies of solar activity make it reasonable to estimate past solar activity. Most important among these proxies is the record of sunspot observations that has been recorded since ~1610. Since sunspots and associated faculae are directly responsible for small changes in the brightness of the sun,[citation needed] they are closely correlated to changes in solar output. Direct measurements of radio emissions from the Sun at 10.7 cm also provide a proxy of solar activity that can be measured from the ground since the Earth's atmosphere is transparent at this wavelength. Lastly, solar flares are a type of solar activity that can impact human life on Earth by affecting electrical systems, especially satellites. Flares usually occur in the presence of sunspots, and hence the two are correlated, but flares themselves make only tiny perturbations of the solar luminosity.Recently it has been claimed that the total solar irradiance is varying in ways that are not duplicated by changes in sunspot observations or radio emissions, though Willson, DeWitte, and others have pointed out that these shifts in irradiance may be no more than the result of calibration problems in the measuring satellites.[18][19] These speculations also admit the possibility that a small long-term trend might exist in solar irradiance.[20]
Sunspots
Main article: Sunspot
Modulation of the solar luminosity by magnetically active regions was confirmed by satellite measurements of total solar irradiance (TSI) by the ACRIM1 experiment on the Solar Maximum Mission (launched in 1980).[23] The modulations were later confirmed in the results of the ERB experiment launched on the Nimbus 7 satellite in 1978,[24] and satellite observation of solar irradiance continues today with ACRIM-3 and other satellite measurements.[1] Sunspots in magnetically active regions are cooler and 'darker' than the average photosphere and cause temporary decreases in TSI of as much as 0.3%. Faculae in magnetically active regions are hotter and 'brighter' than the average photosphere and cause temporary increases in TSI.
The net effect during periods of enhanced solar magnetic activity is increased radiant output of the sun because faculae are larger and persist longer than sunspots. Conversely, periods of lower solar magnetic activity and fewer sunspots (such as the Maunder Minimum) may correlate with times of lower terrestrial irradiance from the sun.[25]
There had been some suggestion that variations in the solar diameter might also cause significant variations in output. But recent work, mostly from the Michelson Doppler Imager instrument on SOHO, shows these changes to be small, about 0.001%, much less than the effect of magnetic activity changes (Dziembowski et al., 2001).
Various studies have been made using sunspot number (for which records extend over hundreds of years) as a proxy for solar output (for which good records only extend for a few decades). Also, ground instruments have been calibrated by comparison with high-altitude and orbital instruments. Researchers have combined present readings and factors to adjust historical data. Other proxy data – such as the abundance of cosmogenic isotopes – have been used to infer solar magnetic activity and thus likely brightness. Sunspot activity has been measured using the Wolf number for about 300 years. This index (also known as the Zürich number) uses both the number of sunspots and the number of groups of sunspots to compensate for variations in measurement. A 2003 study by Ilya Usoskin of the University of Oulu, Finland found that sunspots had been more frequent since the 1940s than in the previous 1150 years.[26]
| Event | Start | End |
|---|---|---|
| Homeric minimum[29] | 950BC | 800BC |
| Oort minimum (see Medieval Warm Period) | 1040 | 1080 |
| Medieval maximum (see Medieval Warm Period) | 1100 | 1250 |
| Wolf minimum | 1280 | 1350 |
| Spörer Minimum | 1450 | 1550 |
| Maunder Minimum | 1645 | 1715 |
| Dalton Minimum | 1790 | 1820 |
| Modern Maximum | 1900 | present |
Solar cycles
Main article: Solar cycle
The sun undergoes various quasi-periodic changes, the principal one referred to as the solar cycle has an 11-year quasi-period. Only the 11 and closely related 22-year cycles are clear in the observations.- 11 years: Most obvious is a gradual increase and more rapid decrease of the number of sunspots over a period ranging from 9 to 12 years, called the Schwabe cycle, named after Heinrich Schwabe. Differential rotation of the sun's convection zone (as a function of latitude) consolidates magnetic flux tubes, increases their magnetic field strength and makes them buoyant (see Babcock Model). As they rise through the solar atmosphere they partially block the convective flow of energy, cooling their region of the photosphere, causing 'sunspots'. The Sun's apparent surface, the photosphere, radiates more actively when there are more sunspots. Satellite monitoring of solar luminosity since 1980 has shown there is a direct relationship between the solar activity (sunspot) cycle and luminosity with a solar cycle peak-to-peak amplitude of about 0.1%.[3] Luminosity has also been found to decrease by as much as 0.3% on a 10-day timescale when large groups of sunspots rotate across the Earth's view and increase by as much as 0.05% for up to 6 months due to faculae associated with the large sunspot groups.[23]
- 22 years: Hale cycle, named after George Ellery Hale. The magnetic field of the Sun reverses during each Schwabe cycle, so the magnetic poles return to the same state after two reversals.
Hypothesized cycles
Periodicity of solar activity with periods longer than the sunspot cycle has been proposed. Some of these proposed longer cycles include:- 87 years (70–100 years): Gleissberg cycle, named after Wolfgang Gleißberg, is thought to be an amplitude modulation of the 11-year Schwabe Cycle (Sonnett and Finney, 1990),[30] Braun, et al., (2005).[31]
- 210 years: Suess cycle (a.k.a. "de Vries cycle"). Braun, et al., (2005).[31]
- 2,300 years: Hallstatt cycle[32][33]
- 6000 years (Xapsos and Burke, 2009).[34]
- In carbon-14: 105, 131, 232, 385, 504, 805, 2,241 years (Damon and Sonnett, 1991).
- During the Upper Permian 240 million years ago, mineral layers created in the Castile Formation show cycles of 2,500 years.
Predictions based on patterns
- Perry and Hsu (2000) proposed a simple model based on emulating harmonics by multiplying the basic 11-year cycle by powers of 2, which produced results similar to Holocene behavior. Extrapolation suggests a gradual cooling during the next few centuries with intermittent minor warmups and a return to near Little Ice Age conditions within the next 500 years. This cool period then may be followed approximately 1,500 years from now by a return to altithermal conditions similar to the previous Holocene Maximum.[36]
- There is weak evidence for a quasi-periodic variation in the sunspot cycle amplitudes with a period of about 90 years ("Gleisberg cycle"). These characteristics indicate that the next solar cycle should have a maximum smoothed sunspot number of about 145±30 in 2010 while the following cycle should have a maximum of about 70±30 in 2023.[37]
- Because carbon-14 cycles are quasi periodic, Damon and Sonett (1989) predict future climate:[38]
| Cycle length | Cycle name | Last positive carbon-14 anomaly |
Next "warming" |
|---|---|---|---|
| 232 | --?-- | AD 1922 (cool) | AD 2038 |
| 208 | Suess | AD 1898 (cool) | AD 2210 |
| 88 | Gleisberg | AD 1986 (cool) | AD 2030 |
Solar irradiance of Earth and its surface
There are two common meanings for solar irradiance:- the radiation reaching the upper atmosphere
- the radiation reaching some point within the atmosphere, including the surface.
Milankovitch cycle variations
Some variations in insolation are not due to solar changes but rather due to the Earth moving closer or further from the Sun, or changes in the latitudinal distribution of radiation. These orbital changes or Milankovitch cycles have caused variations of as much as 25% (locally; global average changes are much smaller) in solar insolation over long periods. The most recent significant event was an axial tilt of 24° during boreal summer at near the time of the Holocene climatic optimum.Solar interactions with Earth
1979–2009: Over the
past 3 decades, terrestrial temperature has not correlated with sunspot
trends. The top plot is of sunspots, while below is the global
atmospheric temperature trend. El Chichón and Pinatubo were volcanoes, while El Niño is part of ocean variability. The effect of greenhouse gas emissions is on top of those fluctuations.
Multiple factors have affected terrestrial climate change, including internal forcings and human influences such as greenhouse gas emissions and land use change on top of any effects of solar variability.
Changes in total irradiance
- Total solar irradiance changes slowly on decadal and longer timescales.
- The variation during recent solar magnetic activity cycles has been about 0.1% (peak-to-peak).[3]
- Variations corresponding to solar changes with periods of 9–13, 18–25, and >100 years have been detected in sea-surface temperatures.
- In contrast to older reconstructions,[39] most recent reconstructions of total solar irradiance point to an only small increase of only about 0.05% to 0.1% between Maunder Minimum and the present.[40][41][42]
- Different composite reconstructions of total solar irradiance observations by satellites show different trends since 1980; see the global warming section below.
Changes in ultraviolet irradiance
- Ultraviolet irradiance (EUV) varies by approximately 1.5 percent from solar maxima to minima, for 200 to 300 nm UV.[43]
- Energy changes in the UV wavelengths involved in production and loss of ozone have atmospheric effects.
- A proxy study estimates that UV has increased by 3.0% since the Maunder Minimum.[45]
Changes in the solar wind and the Sun's magnetic flux
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- A more active solar wind and stronger magnetic field reduces the cosmic rays striking the Earth's atmosphere.[46]
- Variations in the solar wind affect the size and intensity of the heliosphere, the volume larger than the Solar System filled with solar wind particles.
- Cosmogenic production of 14C and 36Cl show changes tied to solar activity. The production rate of 10Be and TSI over the past millennium is more complicated because of possible climate influence of 10Be deposition rate, causing errors in the inferred 10Be formation rate.[47]
- Cosmic ray ionization in the upper atmosphere does change, but significant effects are not obvious.
- As the solar coronal-source magnetic flux doubled during the past century, the cosmic-ray flux has decreased by about 15%.[citation needed]
- The Sun's total magnetic flux rose by a factor of 1.41 from 1964–1996 and by a factor of 2.3 since 1901.[citation needed]
Cosmic Ray-Clouds Claim
It has been claimed that changes in ionization affect the abundance of aerosols that serve as the nuclei of condensation for cloud formation.[48] During periods of low solar activity (during solar minima), more cosmic rays reach Earth, potentially creating ultra-small aerosol particles which are precursors to cloud condensation nuclei.[49] Clouds formed from greater amounts of condensation nuclei are brighter, longer lived, and likely to produce less precipitation. It has been speculated that a change in cosmic rays could cause an increase in certain types of clouds, affecting Earth's albedo.- Galactic cosmic rays have been hypothesized to affect formation of clouds through possible effects on production of cloud condensation nuclei.
- Several percent variation in cosmic rays and in tropospheric ionization occurs when the interplanetary magnetic field changes over the solar cycle, greater than the typically 0.1% variation in total solar irradiance meanwhile.[50][51]
- Particularly at high latitudes where the shielding effect of Earth's magnetic field is less, some studies suggest cosmic ray variation may impact terrestrial low altitude cloud cover (unlike a lack of correlation with high altitude clouds), making such partially influenced by the solar-driven interplanetary magnetic field (as well as passage through the galactic arms over longer timeframes).[50][51][52][53]
A 2002 paper immediately refuted Svensmark's hypothesis.[58] Multiple 2013 papers,[56][59][60][61] and a 2015 paper[62] could find no correlation between cosmic ray levels and global temperature on the multidecadal timescale of recent warming, as cosmic ray levels do not show a multidecadal trend, upwards or down,[63][64][65][66] or on even longer timescales.[67][68]
The claim that recent warming is due to cosmic rays is not considered credible.[69][70][71][72]
Other effects due to solar variation
Interaction of solar particles, the solar magnetic field, and the Earth's magnetic field, cause variations in the particle and electromagnetic fields at the surface of the planet. Extreme solar events can affect electrical devices. Weakening of the Sun's magnetic field is believed to increase the number of interstellar cosmic rays which reach Earth's atmosphere, altering the types of particles reaching the surface.Geomagnetic effects
Solar particles interact with Earth's magnetosphere. Sizes not to scale.
Sudden changes can cause the intense disturbances in the Earth's magnetic fields which are called geomagnetic storms.
Solar proton events
Energetic protons can reach Earth within 30 minutes of a major flare's peak. During such a solar proton event, Earth is showered in energetic solar particles (primarily protons) released from the flare site. Some of these particles spiral down Earth's magnetic field lines, penetrating the upper layers of our atmosphere where they produce additional ionization and may produce a significant increase in the radiation environment.Galactic cosmic rays
Main article: Cosmic ray
An increase in solar activity (more sunspots) is accompanied by an increase in the "solar wind,"
which is an outflow of ionized particles, mostly protons and electrons,
from the sun. The Earth's geomagnetic field, the solar wind, and the
solar magnetic field deflect galactic cosmic rays
(GCR). A decrease in solar activity increases the GCR penetration of
the troposphere and stratosphere. GCR particles are the primary source
of ionization in the troposphere above 1 km (below 1 km, radon is a dominant source of ionization in many areas).Levels of GCRs have been indirectly recorded by their influence on the production of carbon-14 and beryllium-10. The Hallstatt solar cycle length of approximately 2300 years is reflected by climatic Dansgaard-Oeschger events. The 80–90-year solar Gleissberg cycles appear to vary in length depending upon the lengths of the concurrent 11-year solar cycles, and there also appear to be similar climate patterns occurring on this time scale.
Carbon-14 production
The production of carbon-14 (radiocarbon: 14C) also is related to solar activity. Carbon-14 is produced in the upper atmosphere when cosmic ray bombardment of atmospheric nitrogen (14N) induces the Nitrogen to undergo β+ decay, thus transforming into an unusual isotope of carbon with an atomic weight of 14 rather than the more common 12. Because cosmic rays are partially excluded from the Solar System by the outward sweep of magnetic fields in the solar wind, increased solar activity results in a reduction of cosmic rays reaching the Earth's atmosphere and thus reduces 14C production. Thus the cosmic ray intensity and carbon-14 production vary inversely to the general level of solar activity.[73]Therefore, the atmospheric 14C concentration is lower during sunspot maxima and higher during sunspot minima. By measuring the captured 14C in wood and counting tree rings, production of radiocarbon relative to recent wood can be measured and dated. A reconstruction of the past 10,000 years shows that the 14C production was much higher during the mid-Holocene 7,000 years ago and decreased until 1,000 years ago. In addition to variations in solar activity, the long term trends in carbon-14 production are influenced by changes in the Earth's geomagnetic field and by changes in carbon cycling within the biosphere (particularly those associated with changes in the extent of vegetation since the last ice age)[citation needed]
Solar variation and climate
See also: Radiative forcing and Climate sensitivity
Both long-term and short-term variations in solar activity are
hypothesized to affect global climate, but it has proven extremely
challenging to directly quantify the link between solar variation and
the earth's climate.[74] The topic continues to be a subject of active study.As discussed above, there are three suggested mechanisms by which solar variations may have an effect on climate:
- Solar irradiance changes directly affecting the climate ("Radiative forcing"). This is generally considered to be a minor effect, as the amplitudes of the variations in solar irradiance are much too small to have significant effect absent some amplification process.[11]
- Variations in the ultraviolet component. The UV component varies by more than the total, so if UV were for some (as yet unknown) reason having a disproportionate effect, this might explain a larger solar signal in climate.
- Effects mediated by changes in cosmic rays (which are affected by the solar wind) such as changes in cloud cover.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Assessment Report (TAR) concluded that the measured magnitude of recent solar variation is much smaller than the amplification effect due to greenhouse gases but acknowledges in the same report that there is a low level of scientific understanding with respect to solar variation.[77][78]
Estimates of long-term solar irradiance changes have decreased since the TAR. However, empirical results of detectable tropospheric changes have strengthened the evidence for solar forcing of climate change. The most likely mechanism is considered to be some combination of direct forcing by changes in total solar irradiance, and indirect effects of ultraviolet (UV) radiation on the stratosphere. Least certain are indirect effects induced by galactic cosmic rays.[79]
In 2002, Lean et al.[80] stated that while "There is ... growing empirical evidence for the Sun's role in climate change on multiple time scales including the 11-year cycle", "changes in terrestrial proxies of solar activity (such as the 14C and 10Be cosmogenic isotopes and the aa geomagnetic index) can occur in the absence of long-term (i.e., secular) solar irradiance changes ... because the stochastic response increases with the cycle amplitude, not because there is an actual secular irradiance change." They conclude that because of this, "long-term climate change may appear to track the amplitude of the solar activity cycles," but that "Solar radiative forcing of climate is reduced by a factor of 5 when the background component is omitted from historical reconstructions of total solar irradiance ...This suggests that general circulation model (GCM) simulations of twentieth century warming may overestimate the role of solar irradiance variability." More recently, a study and review of existing literature published in Nature in September 2006 suggests that the evidence is solidly on the side of solar brightness having relatively little effect on global climate, with little likelihood of significant shifts in solar output over long periods of time.[11][81] Lockwood and Fröhlich, 2007, find that there "is considerable evidence for solar influence on the Earth's pre-industrial climate and the Sun may well have been a factor in post-industrial climate change in the first half of the last century," but that "over the past 20 years, all the trends in the Sun that could have had an influence on the Earth's climate have been in the opposite direction to that required to explain the observed rise in global mean temperatures."[82] In a study that brought geomagnetic activity into the discussion, as a measure of known solar-terrestrial interaction, Love et al. found a statistically significant correlation between sunspots and geomagnetic activity, but they found no statistically significant correlation between global surface temperature and either sunspot number or geomagnetic activity.[83]
A paper by Benestad and Schmidt[84] concludes that "the most likely contribution from solar forcing a global warming is 7 ± 1% for the 20th century and is negligible for warming since 1980." This paper disagrees with the conclusions of a Scafetta and West study,[85] who claim that solar variability has a significant effect on climate forcing. Based on correlations between specific climate and solar forcing reconstructions, they argue that a "realistic climate scenario is the one described by a large preindustrial secular variability (e.g., the paleoclimate temperature reconstruction by Moberg et al.)[86] with the total solar irradiance experiencing low secular variability (as the one shown by Wang et al.).[87] Under this scenario, according to Scafetta and West, the Sun might have contributed 50% of the observed global warming since 1900.[10] Stott et al. estimate that the residual effects of the prolonged high solar activity during the last 30 years account for between 16% and 36% of warming from 1950 to 1999.[88]
Effect on global warming
Recent rises in Earth average temperature cannot be explained by solar radiative forcing as its primary cause. This has been deduced via multiple, independent lines of evidence:Direct measurement and time series
Neither direct measurements nor proxies of solar variation correlate well with Earth global temperature,[89] particularly in recent decades.[90][91]Diurnal criterion
Globally, average diurnal temperature range has decreased.[92][93][94] That is, daytime temperatures have not risen as fast as nighttime temperatures have warmed. This is the opposite of the expected warming if solar energy (falling primarily or wholly on Earth's dayside, depending on energy regime) were the principal means of forcing. It is, however, the expected pattern if greenhouse gases were preventing radiative escape, which is more prevalent on Earth's nightside.[95]Hemispheric and latitudinal criteria
The Northern Hemisphere is warming faster than the Southern Hemisphere.[96][97] This is the opposite of the expected pattern if the Sun, currently closer to the Earth during Austral Summer, were the principal climate forcing. In particular, the Southern Hemisphere, with more ocean area and less land area, has a lower albedo ("whiteness") and absorbs more light. The Northern Hemisphere, however, has a higher population, industry, and emissions.Furthermore, the Arctic region is not only warming faster than the Antarctic, but faster than northern mid-latitudes and subtropics. This, despite polar regions receiving less sun than lower latitudes.
Altitude criterion
Solar forcing should warm Earth's atmosphere roughly evenly by altitude, with some variation by wavelength/energy regime. However, the atmosphere is warming at lower altitudes, and actually cooling at higher altitudes. This is the expected pattern if greenhouse gases are driving temperature,[98][99] as on Venus.[100]Solar variation theory
A 1994 U.S. National Academy of Sciences study concluded that variations in total solar irradiance (TSI) were the most likely cause of significant climate change in the pre-industrial era, before significant human-generated carbon dioxide was put into the atmosphere.[39]A 2007 paper by Scafetta and West correlating solar proxy data and lower tropospheric temperature for the preindustrial era, before significant anthropogenic greenhouse forcing, suggested that TSI variations may have contributed to 50% of the global warming observed between 1900 and 2000 (although they conclude "our estimates about the solar effect on climate might be overestimated and should be considered as an upper limit.")[85] This contrasts with the results from global circulation models that predict solar forcing of climate through direct radiative forcing is too small to explain a significant contribution.[101] The relative significance of solar variability and other forcings of climate change during the industrial era is an area of ongoing research.
In 2000, Peter Stott and other researchers at the Hadley Centre in the United Kingdom published a paper[102] in which they reported on the most comprehensive model simulations to date of the climate of the 20th century. Their study looked at both "natural forcing agents" (solar variations and volcanic emissions) as well as "anthropogenic forcing" (greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols). They found that "solar effects may have contributed significantly to the warming in the first half of the century although this result is dependent on the reconstruction of total solar irradiance that is used. In the latter half of the century, we find that anthropogenic increases in greenhouses gases are largely responsible for the observed warming, balanced by some cooling due to anthropogenic sulphate aerosols, with no evidence for significant solar effects." Stott's team found that combining all of these factors enabled them to closely simulate global temperature changes throughout the 20th century. They predicted that continued greenhouse gas emissions would cause additional future temperature increases "at a rate similar to that observed in recent decades". It should be noted that their solar forcing included "spectrally resolved changes in solar irradiance" but not indirect effects mediated through cosmic rays (discussed above and in the following section); these ideas are still being fleshed out.[103] In addition, the study notes "uncertainties in historical forcing" — in other words, past natural forcing may still be having a delayed warming effect, most likely due to the oceans.[102] A graphical representation[104] of the relationship between natural and anthropogenic factors contributing to climate change appears in "Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis", a report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).[105]
Stott's 2003 work mentioned in the model section above largely revised his assessment, and found a significant solar contribution to recent warming, although still smaller (between 16 and 36%) than that of the greenhouse gases.[88]
Sami Solanki, the director of the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research in Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany said:
The sun has been at its strongest over the past 60 years and may now be affecting global temperatures... the brighter sun and higher levels of so-called "greenhouse gases" both contributed to the change in the Earth's temperature, but it was impossible to say which had the greater impact.[106]Nevertheless, Solanki agrees with the scientific consensus that the marked upswing in temperatures since about 1980 is attributable to human activity.
"Just how large this role [of solar variation] is, must still be investigated, since, according to our latest knowledge on the variations of the solar magnetic field, the significant increase in the Earth's temperature since 1980 is indeed to be ascribed to the greenhouse effect caused by carbon dioxide."[107]
Maunder Minimum
Main article: Maunder Minimum
One historical long-term correlation between solar activity and
climate change is the 1645–1715 Maunder minimum, a period of little or
no sunspot activity which partially overlapped the "Little Ice Age" during which cold weather prevailed in Europe. The Little Ice Age encompassed roughly the 16th to the 19th centuries[108][109][110] It is debated whether the low solar activity caused the cooling, or whether the cooling was caused by other factors.The Spörer Minimum has also been identified with a significant cooling period between 1460 and 1550.[111] Other indicators of low solar activity during this period are levels of the isotopes carbon-14 and beryllium-10.[112]
On the other hand, in a 2012 paper, Miller et al. link the Little Ice Age to an "unusual 50-year-long episode with four large sulfur-rich explosive eruptions," and notes "large changes in solar irradiance are not required."[113]
Recent research had suggested that a new 90-year Maunder minimum would result in a reduction of global average temperatures of about 0.3 °C, which would not be enough to offset the ongoing and forecasted average global temperature increase due to increased forcing from rising levels of carbon dioxide (generally referred to as global warming).[114]
Correlations to solar cycle length
In 1991, Eigil Friis-Christensen and Knud Lassen of the Danish Meteorological Institute in Copenhagen claimed to see a strong correlation of the length of the solar cycle with temperature changes throughout the northern hemisphere.[115] Initially, they used sunspot and temperature measurements from 1861 to 1989, but later found that climate records dating back four centuries supported their findings. They reported that the relationship appeared to account for nearly 80 per cent of the measured temperature changes over this period.Although correlations often can be found, the mechanism behind these correlations is a matter of speculation. In a 2003 paper "Solar activity and terrestrial climate: an analysis of some purported correlations"[116] Peter Laut demonstrates problems with some of these correlation analyses. Damon and Laut report in Eos[117] that
the apparent strong correlations displayed on these graphs have been obtained by incorrect handling of the physical data. The graphs are still widely referred to in the literature, and their misleading character has not yet been generally recognized.Damon and Laut stated that when the graphs are corrected for filtering errors, the sensational agreement with the recent global warming, which drew worldwide attention, has totally disappeared.[117]
On 6 May 2000, New Scientist magazine reported that Lassen and astrophysicist Peter Thejll had updated Friis-Christensen and Lassen's 1991 research (which originally only went to 1989) and found that while the solar cycle still accounts for about half the temperature rise since 1900, it fails to explain a rise of 0.4 °C since 1980. "The curves diverge after 1980," Thejll said, "and it's a startlingly large deviation. Something else is acting on the climate.... It has the fingerprints of the greenhouse effect."[118] Likewise a 2005 review by Benestad[119] found that the solar cycle length does not follow Earth's global mean surface temperature.
Solar variation and weather
There are some suggestions that there may also be regional climate impacts due to the solar activity, such as for the rivers Paraná[120] and Po.[121] Measurements from NASA's Solar Radiation and Climate Experiment show that solar UV output is more variable than the total solar irradiance. Climate modelling suggests that low solar activity may result in, for example, colder winters in the US and northern Europe and milder winters in Canada and southern Europe, with little change in globally averaged temperature.[2] More broadly, links have been suggested between solar cycles, global climate and events like El Nino.[122] In other research, Daniel J. Hancock and Douglas N. Yarger found "statistically significant relationships between the double [~21-year] sunspot cycle and the 'January thaw' phenomenon along the East Coast and between the double sunspot cycle and 'drought' (June temperature and precipitation) in the Midwest."[123]Recent research at CERN's CLOUD facility examined links between cosmic rays and cloud condensation nuclei, demonstrating the effect of high-energy particulate radiation in nucleating aerosol particles which are precursors to cloud condensation nuclei.[49] Dr. Jasper Kirby, a team leader at CLOUD, said, "At the moment, it [the experiment] actually says nothing about a possible cosmic-ray effect on clouds and climate, but it's a very important first step."[124][125]
1983–1994 data from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) showed that global low cloud formation was highly correlated with galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux; subsequent to this period, the correlation breaks down.[117] Changes of 3–4% in cloudiness and concurrent changes in cloud top temperatures have been correlated to the 11 and 22-year solar (sunspot) cycles, with increased GCR levels during "antiparallel" cycles.[52] Global average cloud cover change has been found to be 1.5–2%. Several studies of GCR and cloud cover variations have found positive correlation at latitudes greater than 50° and negative correlation at lower latitudes.[48] However, not all scientists accept this correlation as statistically significant, and some that do attribute it to other solar variability (e.g. UV or total irradiance variations) rather than directly to GCR changes.[126][127] Difficulties in interpreting such correlations include the fact that many aspects of solar variability change at similar times, and some climate systems have delayed responses.
Historical perspective
Physicist and historian Spencer R. Weart in The Discovery of Global Warming (2003) writes:The study of [sun spot] cycles was generally popular through the first half of the century. Governments had collected a lot of weather data to play with and inevitably people found correlations between sun spot cycles and select weather patterns. If rainfall in England didn't fit the cycle, maybe storminess in New England would. Respected scientists and enthusiastic amateurs insisted they had found patterns reliable enough to make predictions. Sooner or later though every prediction failed. An example was a highly credible forecast of a dry spell in Africa during the sunspot minimum of the early 1930s. When the period turned out to be wet, a meteorologist later recalled "the subject of sunspots and weather relationships fell into dispute, especially among British meteorologists who witnessed the discomfiture of some of their most respected superiors." Even in the 1960s he said, "For a young [climate] researcher to entertain any statement of sun-weather relationships was to brand oneself a crank."[5]
See also
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Footnotes
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General references
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- Yaskell, S.H., (based upon the work of distinguished solar scientist Cornelis de Jager) (2013). Grand Phases On The Sun:the case for a mechanism responsible for extended solar minima and maxima. New Jersey: Trafford.http://www.prweb.com/releases/StevenHaywoodYaskell/GrandPhasesOnTheSun/prweb11187693.htm
External links
- Gerrit Lohmann, Norel Rimbu, Mihai Dima (2004). "Climate signature of solar irradiance variations: analysis of long-term instrumental, historical, and proxy data". International Journal of Climatology 24 (8): 1045–56. Bibcode:2004IJCli..24.1045L. doi:10.1002/joc.1054.
- NOAA / NESDIS / NGDC (2002) Solar Variability Affecting Earth NOAA CD-ROM NGDC-05/01. This CD-ROM contains over 100 solar-terrestrial and related global data bases covering the period through April 1990. http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/CDROM/solar_variability.html
- Solanki, S.K.; Fligge, M. (2001). "Long-term changes in solar irradiance". In Wilson, A. Proceedings of the 1st Solar and Space Weather Euroconference, 25-29 September 2000, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Tenerife, Spain. ESA Publications Division. pp. 51–60. ISBN 9290926937. ESA SP-463.
- Solanki, S.K.; Fligge, M. (2000). "Reconstruction of past solar irradiance". Space Science Review 94 (1/2): 127–38. doi:10.1023/A:1026754803423.
- Reid, George C. (1995). "The sun-climate question: Is there a real connection?". Rev. Geophys. 33 (Suppl): 535. Bibcode:1995RvGeS..33..535R. doi:10.1029/95RG00103.[dead link] Aeronomy Laboratory, NOAA/ERL, Boulder, Colorado. U.S. National Report to IUGG, 1991–1994
- Recent Total Solar Irradiance data updated every Monday
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