We have come perilously close to disaster before, says Noam Chomsky, and are toying with catastrophe again.
In October 2014, the Plymouth Institute for Peace Research (www.pipr.co.uk)
asked Noam Chomsky to comment on some important world developments,
including the threat of nuclear war, the recent escalation of violence
in Gaza, and the growth of ISIS in Iraq.
This year commemorates the centenary of the 1914-18 First World War. What are your reflections?
THERE IS much debate about assignment of responsibility/blame for the
outbreak of this horrendous conflict, along with general agreement
about one point: There was a high level of accident and contingency;
decisions could easily have been different, avoiding catastrophe. There
are ominous parallels to nuclear catastrophe.
An investigation of the history of near-confrontations with nuclear
weapons reveals how close the world has come to virtual
self-annihilation, numerous times, so much so that escape has been a
near miracle, one unlikely to be perpetuated for too long. The record
underscores the warning of Bertrand Russell and Albert Einstein in 1955
that we face a choice that is “stark and dreadful and inescapable: Shall
we put an end to the human race; or shall mankind renounce war?”
A second no less chilling observation is the alacrity of the rush to
war on all sides, in particular the instant dedication of intellectuals
to the cause of their own states, with a small fringe of notable
exceptions, almost all of whom were punished for their sanity and
integrity – a microcosm of the history of the cultivated and educated
sectors of society, and the mass hysteria that they often articulate.
The commemorations began around the same time as
Operation Protective Edge. It is a tragic irony that Gaza is home to WWI
memorial graves. What were the real—as opposed to rhetorical
reasons—for Israel’s latest assault on Gaza?
It is critically important to recognize that a pattern was
established almost a decade ago and has been followed regularly since: A
ceasefire agreement is reached, Israel makes it clear that it will not
observe it and continues its assault on Gaza (and illegal takeover of
what it wants elsewhere in the occupied territories), while Hamas
observes the ceasefire, as Israel concedes, until some Israeli
escalation elicits a Hamas response, offering Israel a pretext for
another episode of “mowing the lawn” (in Israel’s elegant parlance).
I have reviewed the record elsewhere; it is unusually clear for
historical events. The same pattern holds for Operation Protective
Edge. Another of the series of ceasefires had been reached in November
2012. Israel ignored it as usual, Hamas observed it nevertheless.
In April 2014, Gaza-based Hamas and the Palestine Authority in the
West Bank established a unity government, which at once adopted all of
the demands of the Quartet (the US, EU, UN, Russia) and included no
Hamas members. Israel was infuriated, and launched a brutal operation
in the West Bank, extending to Gaza, targeting mainly Hamas. As always
there was a pretext, but it quickly dissolves on inspection. Finally
killings in Gaza elicited a Hamas response, followed by Protective Edge.
The reasons for Israel’s fury are not obscure. For 20 years, Israel
has sought to separate Gaza from the West Bank, with full US support and
in strict violation of the Oslo Accords that both had signed, which
declare the two to be a single indivisible territorial entity.
A look at the map explains the reasons. Gaza offers the only access
for Palestine to the outside world; without free access to Gaza, any
autonomy that might be granted to some fragmented Palestinian entity in
the West Bank will be effectively imprisoned.
The Governments of Israel, Britain, and the US are surely
thrilled with the appearance of ISIS; a new ‘threat’ providing them
with new excuses for war and internal repression. What are your thoughts
about ISIS and the latest bombing of Iraq?
Reporting is limited, so what we can conclude is necessarily a construction from scattered evidence. To me it looks like this:
ISIS is a real monstrosity, one of the many horrifying consequences
of the US sledgehammer, which among other crimes, incited sectarian
conflicts that may by now have destroyed Iraq finally and are tearing
the region to shreds.
The almost instantaneous defeat of the Iraqi army was quite an
astonishing event. This was an army of 350,000 men, heavily armed,
trained by the US for over a decade. The Iraqi army had fought a long
and bitter war against Iran through the 1980s. As soon as it was
confronted by a few thousand lightly armed militants, the commanding
officers fled and the demoralized troops either fled with them or
deserted or were massacred.
By now ISIS controls almost all of Anbar province and is not far from
Baghdad. With the Iraqi army virtually gone, the fighting in Iraq is
in the hands of Shiite militias organized by the sectarian government,
which are carrying out crimes against Sunnis that mirror those of ISIS.
With crucial assistance from the military wing of the Turkish Kurds,
the PKK, the Iraqi Kurdish Peshmerga has apparently held off ISIS. It
seems that the PKK are also the most significant force that rescued the
Yazidi from extermination and are holding off ISIS in Syria, including
the crucial defense of Kobane.
Meanwhile Turkey has escalated its attacks against the PKK, with US
tolerance if not support. It appears that Turkey is satisfied to watch
its enemies – ISIS and the Kurds – killing one another within eyesight
of the border, with awful consequences likely if the Kurds cannot
withstand the ISIS assault on Kobane and beyond.
Another major opponent of ISIS, Iran, is excluded from the US
“coalition” for policy and ideological reasons, as of course is their
ally Assad. The US-led coalition includes a few of the Arab oil
dictatorships that are themselves supporting competing jihadi groups.
The major one, Saudi Arabia, has long been the major source of funding
for ISIS as well as providing its ideological roots—no small matter.
ISIS is an extremist offshoot of Saudi Wahabi/Salafi doctrines,
themselves an extremist version of Islam; and a missionary version,
using huge Saudi oil resources to spread their teachings throughout much
of the Muslim world. The US, like Britain before it, has tended to
support radical fundamentalist Islam in opposition to secular
nationalism, and Saudi Arabia has been a primary US ally since the
family dictatorship was consolidated and vast oil resources were
discovered there.
The best informed journalist and analyst of the region right now,
Patrick Cockburn, describes US strategy, such as it is, as an
Alice-in-Wonderland construction, opposing both ISIS and its main
enemies, and loosely incorporating dubious Arab allies with limited
European support.
An alternative would be to adhere to domestic and international law:
appealing to the UN Security Council and then following its lead, and
seeking political and diplomatic avenues to escape from the morass or at
least mitigate its horrors. But that is almost unthinkable in US
political culture.
As military operations in Iraq grow, NATO further
destabilizes Ukraine. What are your thoughts about the US-Russia proxy
conflict and its potential for nuclear war?
It is an extremely dangerous development, which has been brewing ever
since Washington violated its verbal promises to Gorbachev and began
expanding NATO to the East, right to Russia’s borders, and threatening
to incorporate Ukraine, which is of great strategic significance to
Russia and of course has close historical and cultural links.
There is a sensible analysis of the situation in the leading establishment journal,
Foreign Affairs,
by international relations specialist John Mearsheimer, entitled “Why
the Ukraine Crisis Is the West’s Fault.” The Russian autocracy is far
from blameless, but we are now back to earlier comments: we have come
perilously close to disaster before, and are toying with catastrophe
again. It is not that possible peaceful solutions are lacking.
One final thought, about a dark and menacing cloud that looms over
everything we discuss: like the proverbial lemmings, we are marching
resolutely towards an environmental crisis that may well displace other
concerns, in the not too distant future.
Source: Plymouth Institute for Peace Research
