- Ambassador: estimates «intelligence Complex» on «global threats» .. America counts the following risks .. From everywhere!
interesting thing is that these threats may depart significantly from
the traditional form, which is defined by the United States during the
past decades, and that after the entry of new weapons is expected to
track the ongoing battle between the empire and those opposed to it,
with different forms (governments, organizations, individuals), and its
premises ideology. These threats of an international
character of «complex intelligence» U.S. recently in a report currently
director of «National Intelligence» James Clapper recently in testimony
before the Intelligence Committee in the Senate.
According
to Clapper, this benefit «reflect in form and content over the speed
and the root, which is changing in Doihma the world as well as the
environment threats », adding that« this environment requires a
recalibration of the way in which we do business, and expand حقيبتنا
analytical, changing Glossary intelligence world ».
«threats become more diverse, and more interconnected, and are of character viral, more than any time in the History ». So
put Clapper attacks «Alsaybaria» at the head of the challenges facing
the United States today, which is dangerous, according to the U.S.
official, in that it «may be used in which weapons Saybaria and
financial undeniable and the inability to download the responsibility of
the Party of particular», ie, that «destruction can be invisible,
lurking, and rising. «We're now watching the ongoing
transformations in human geography, climate, disease and competition for
natural resources, because these phenomena fueling tensions and
conflicts», adds Clapper, مستطردا that «local events that may seem
irrelevant to us is likely to further affect the U.S. national security
through the stages of an accelerated time frame. Clapper
acknowledges that U.S. intelligence may be powerless against these
risks: «In this environment of threats, may not be exaggerated
expectations about the fruits of intelligence integration, in terms of
importance and urgency. Progress can not be stopped. The
intelligence compound must continue to strengthen its cooperation with
experts in every field, from the political and social sciences to the
natural sciences, medicine, and military and space issues. On
this page, published «Ambassador» outtakes from «estimating the
position of global threats», noting that can be found on the full text
of the report through the Website.
«Space Alseibera»: Race a global digital technology
we
are in the midst of a major transformation, because Banana
infrastructure sensitive and the economy and personal life, and even
basic understanding of and interaction with the world becoming more
intertwined with the Internet and digital technologies.,
in
some cases, using digital technology world, faster than our ability to
understand the consequences and mitigate security risks. And
exploits players governmental and non-governmental Internet
increasingly, to achieve strategic objectives, while many governments
المتوجسة of the role played by the Internet in undermining political
stability and regime change is seeking to increase its control over the
content in «Space Alseibera». The growing use of the
Internet in order to achieve the strategic objectives also exceeds the
extent of the development of a common understanding of the rules of
behavior, which leads to increased the likelihood of doing the wrong
accounts, and also to the misunderstanding may lead to unintended
escalation. Compounding these developments case of doubt
and uncertainty that we live in the face of threats of new Saybaria and
unexpected. In response to trends and events taking place
in cyberspace, the options which will take us and the other actors in
the coming years will shape cyberspace for decades to come, with a high
probability that have profound effects on the U.S. economy and national
security. In the U.S., we mean threats Alsaybaria attacks Alsaybaria and spyware
Alseibera. attack
Alseibera is an offensive operation is aimed at achieving the kinetics
physical impact or to disable, or delete data or manipulated. May
range from practical assault disable the service, to prevent temporary
access to a site on the internet, to target for power generators,
causing material damage and interruption in power supply lasts several
days. spyware Alseibera intended to penetrate networks, in order to access information diplomatic or military or economic sensitive.
increase the risks to critical infrastructure of the United States
during
the next two years, we appreciate that there is likely little to the
occurrence of an attack Seibera large targets electronic systems
infrastructure sensitive to the United States, and that would lead to
the disruption of services in large-scale, long-term, such as blackouts
for the entire region. The level of expertise and
experience necessary operational in order to carry out such an attack,
including the ability to create material damage would be out of reach
for most actors during this time frame. The Actors
Alsaybiriun the forerunners such as China and Russia, it is unlikely to
call such a devastating attack against the United States, outside of a
military conflict or crisis they believe threaten their vital interests.
However, Chen isolated state or non-state actors less sophisticated attacks, as a form of retaliation or provocation. These
actors less advanced, but highly motivated, to reach some U.S. networks
poorly protected, from those that control basic functions, such as
power generation, during the next two years. In spite of
its ability to achieve these critical points, and causing serious
consequences, the potential ability to cause systematic sabotage remains
limited. At the same time, there is a risk that the
attacks unsophisticated has been achieved great successes, because of
the settings and system errors unexpected, or because of weakness in a
single node on the network, stretching and damage other parts of the
network system.
erosion of the U.S. economy and national security
have
penetrated the intelligence services and devices Many foreign security
of computer networks belonging to the U.S. government and the business
sector, academic institutions and private sector entities. Has
targeted most of the activities that have been monitored unclassified
networks connected to the Internet, but also foreign actors targeting
clandestine networks. More importantly, a lot of sensitive
data in the country placed on the networks are sensitive, but
unclassified, and the same is true of most of our closest allies. We
estimate that businesses relying heavily on networking and information
technology provide opportunities for intelligence and security agencies
of foreign spies trusted Alcamnin within them, and 'hackers', and others
who are targeting and collecting sensitive data about national security
and the American economy. This is undoubtedly easier for
opponents to Erdmoa the technological gap between the armies of each of
us, and to depart slowly and one of the main advantages that we have in
the international arena. Very difficult to estimate the
financial value of what we have techniques and sensitive information
with our business, and thus estimate the losses derived from economic
espionage activities in «space Alseibera». However, we
appreciate that economic espionage Alseibera the might allow actors to
take the information to reap unfair gains in some industries.
non-state actors
We trace developments Alsaybaria of the non-state actors, including terrorist groups, hackers and cyber criminals. The
spotted indications that some terrorists have raised the level of
interest develop offensive Saybaria capabilities, but it is likely that
they are constrained by limited resources and regulatory constraints and
competing priorities they have. Continue hackers to target
a broad range of companies and institutions, through attacks designed
to shut down the service, but we did not notice a significant change in
their abilities or their intentions in the past year.
most
hackers use of the service is stopped for a short period, or publish
information relating to them personally on corporate websites pirated,
as a form of political protest. On the other hand, has a
more radical group formed for making more systematic effects such as
disable the financial networks, has accidentally paid to unintended
consequences, can be misinterpreted as a state-sponsored attack. Cybercriminals threaten the economic interests of the United States. They
sell tools, through a growing black market, you may be able to reach
critical infrastructure systems, which could reach into the hands of
players governmental and non-governmental. In addition, a small number of commercial companies sell supplies on the open market penetration. Such
hardware and software packages that give governments and cybercriminals
the ability to steal information in the target systems, deleted or
tampered with. There are other companies develops and sells professional-quality techniques support Alsaybaria operations. Foreign governments are already using some of these tools in order to target systems of the United States.
monopoly of China's «earth elements» rare
«REE»
(which is about 17 elements chemically) are essential for IT civilian
and military, as well as for the global economy in the century atheist
century, including the development of green technology (IT agriculture)
and advanced defense systems. China monopoly global supply
of rare earth elements, and control in about ninety-five percent of the
extraction and refining industries. Chinese hegemony and
its policies in pricing and export led other countries to follow the
mitigation strategies from the use of these elements, but those
strategies but have perhaps only a limited impact within the next five
years. It certainly will not end the dominance of China on rare earth elements. Became
the prices of those elements prickly, especially after China has
legislation to reduce quotas by forty percent in July 2010, and peaked
through record levels in mid-2011 and, as of December 2012 receded
prices, but still above levels prior to July 2010, by ranging between
eighty and six hundred percent (depending on the type of rare earth
elements). Is expected to be depleted of these minerals in
Australia, Brazil, Canada, Malawi and the United States and Vietnam in
less than five years. However, although the non-Chinese
production of these metals has entered the arena, the basic elements of
rare earth which are processed outside of China will remain limited due
to technical difficulties and regulatory hurdles and capital costs
associated with the restart of the capabilities and new treatment
facilities. China will also continue to control the
production of the vast majority of the most expensive and rarest of the
rare earth elements, which are known as heavy rare earth elements,
content in the manufacture of defense systems.
Eurozone crisis
European
leaders are still struggling with the eurozone crisis, as the euro zone
economy fell back, to fall into recession in 2012, after two
consecutive years of slow economic growth. And notes
«assess global threats 'issued by the' American intelligence complex
that the consequences of the crisis have a significant impact not only
on the United States, but also for the global economy. Decreased
the potential risk of the disintegration of an unmanaged for the euro
zone this year, due to EU leaders to take steps to strengthen the
banking and financial integration, but economic downturn in Europe
threatens to cut global growth. During the current year, could affect the growing anger of austerity on the social and political fabric of Europe. Because
of the high rates of unemployment, especially among young people in the
countries situated on the outskirts of the euro area (Greece, Italy,
Portugal, Spain), there was a slight increase in strikes and violent
protests. The greatest threat to stability is the discontent over austerity and reforms, which is spread across Europe. In
November 2012, tens of thousands, mostly in southern Europe, but also
in Belgium and France in the first step of the unified trade union work
in the whole of the European Union, to protest against budget cuts. Has
prompted the crisis is already most of the European countries to cut
spending on defense, what reduced the ability of the Allies to support
the security interests of NATO and other U.S. security interests, all
over the world.
space war
space
systems and infrastructure supporting it offers a wide range of
services, including communications and operations of GPS navigation,
timing and intelligence work, surveillance and reconnaissance,
meteorology, which provides vital national interests: military and
civilian, scientific and economic. States are
aware of these other benefits to the United States, it seeks to
undermine the strategic advantage of the progress of the United States,
through the employment potential in order to deny or destroy our access
to space services. Will increase the threats directed at
U.S. vital space services over the next decade, steadily with the
development of anti-Capacity: disruptive and destructive. In 2007, China conducted a test of a devastating anti-missile satellites. In
a press article published in 2009, a Russian military official said
that Moscow high-level development capabilities in the field of space
warfare.
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