Saudi Arabia and Qatar Tstbdlan plan Bandar Syrian: restructuring for «jihadist» and armament and priorities
However, the Qataris and the Saudis, and Jordanians with them, completing Bandariah buried in Syria. The first observation on the exit Bandariah fields Syrian, is the convergence of Qatar Saudi Arabia, and the agreement on the management of the Syrian opposition, armed, and re-organized, especially in the north, which was imposed on the country not to reconsider their support for political Islam, but the Salafi «jihadist» whole.
The plan provides for the establishment of Bandar «Army» of 60 thousand fighters, has been allocated five billion dollars for arming, and offered to be trained in camps all over the place, from Jordan. Qatar and even Saudi city of Taif. The Americans were working with Jordanian intelligence and Saudi Arabia, and some tribal leaders in the eastern region of the Syrian, the recruitment of members of the families of the fennel, and Jabour, and the Baggara, and Moasmh, and Goran and nodules. And betrays the appointment of Ahmed al-Shammari Jarba at the head of the «National Coalition» entrenched opposition from tribal option with Bender and Americans.
The fears come true «jihadist», especially the organization «Islamic state in Iraq and the Levant» (Daash) to look at the project Bandari, that constitutes a «Awakening Councils», guns will be directed to them, when its members perform their goals against the Syrian army. The Americans, who look to Syria from the perspective of their experience of Iraq, encouraging the plan because they look to the east of Syria in the same way that they looked where to Anbar, Iraq's neighbor before: a solid block of clans excels where tribalism on religious commitment, and the attractiveness of the Salafist «jihadist», and flanked by Breakthrough «basement», and entitles members to fight «Daash» and «Front victory» and others when Thin time.
He was working on the implementation of the plan may Bandar took years of preparations, when the decision was made to disarm him and the Syrian file be given to Interior Minister Mohammed bin Nayef. Were recruited hundreds of fighters, who have been trained American and Jordanian and Pakistani, and poured many weapons to Jordan in particular.
But abandoning the plan Bender is not due to the failure of the owner in its implementation, as is widely believed today, a belief that does not reflect the fact that most of the operations and the groups that chose funding, pending the establishment of «army» clan and that was threatening Damascus, planned and financed by the Saudi prince, especially the process large Otaiba in East Gouta against the Syrian army last November.
In fact did not give enough time to Bandar to go far in the implementation of the plan, and prepare for a major military action, proceeding from the south towards Damascus, Syria, was believed to be the only way to topple the Syrian regime. Was the former intelligence chief has a road map to go to Damascus, but they require more time than can be waiting for his rivals in Riyadh, on the one hand, and threaten the other hand even ally Jordan.
It is also a road map expensive for the United States, as you go ambitions Bandar beyond what is now Washington wants in Syria, which no longer seeks, after the deal «chemical» and removed, to a military solution on the way Bandariah, topples friends and enemies together, and undermines the foundations of any stability in Syria for many years, and threatens the security of Israel and Jordan.
Jordanians objected to the plan and Bandar Artdadadtha them, and asked for the transfer of operations to Taif training. The Jordanians are not secondary players in the war against Syria and its options. The Jordanians have complained to the Americans, during the recent visit of King Abdullah II to Washington, the risk of any broad attack stems from Jordan on security, and shelter «Army» of 60 thousand fighters, medium-term and caring for an attack on Damascus, Amman. Abdullah complained to Russian President Vladimir Putin, during his visit to Moscow two weeks ago, delayed the Syrian army in the decisive militarily in the region of Daraa. He complained Jordanians Americans have fears of loose command groups of the Syrian armed forces and the inability to control the flow across the border on the southern front, Mindful Jordanians that any broad attack would lead to the displacement of hundreds of thousands of Syrians to Jordan, and exacerbating their crisis at best, and the fall of the Syrian regime would mean the worst, and the start of the countdown for the fall of the Hashemite regime itself, with the return of the Islamist victors to Amman.
What is the alternative plan, and how it works on the Saudis and Qataris fleshed?
Says a Western expert, returning from the north of Syria, the Saudis and Qataris, working together on an alternative plan for Bandar, depends on the crowd in the north of Syria, and to change their policy towards groups «jihadist», and the restructuring of the groups run by the Chamber of standardized processes in Antioch, and not only support the princes War Syrians separately, or to finance some limited operations against Syrian army positions.
The aim of this cooperation, in the first phase, to choose the best militant groups and less extreme or linked «Al-Qaeda», like «Corps Levant», and «Supporters of the right», and some battalions «Front rebels Syria», and assembly of the battalions small, such as «Noureddine Zangi »in Aleppo, and the unification of the local battalions sporadic Tbaya« victory »and« Daash »for financial reasons, not ideology.
It is believed intelligence officers Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Turkish groups «jihadist» will not pose a large force, if in fact local groups alliance with them, and that the nucleus «victory» or «Daash», or «free Levant», will not be relevant, if it was dismantling its alliances with fighters of towns and villages in northern Syria, especially in Aleppo and Idlib.
The aim of this restructuring to secure the land controlled by the opposition and run by the cantons, and the protection of Aleppo progress of the Syrian army. The aim of the recent operation against the headquarters of the Air Intelligence and the western countryside of Aleppo in general to stop the advance of the army in Aleppo East threatened siege. It also is working to raise the level of armament and planting supporters and supporters, inside the armed groups to facilitate coordination among them, and the resumption of fighting against the Syrian army more broadly.
And goes Qataris in rapprochement with the Saudis, who are working to weaken political Islam, to the extent the agreement on withholding aid to the group «Muslim Brotherhood» in the region, and stop funding the largest militant groups that have requested Riyadh stop funding from Doha, such as «free Sham» which was the platoon the strongest in the north of Syria. Complain fighters «free Sham» of non-payment of their salaries for four months, and a lack of funding and ammunition, which is Qatar, Kuwait and the Salafi networks are doing, until recently.
It is clear that the Saudis, not the Americans, those who decide military action against the Syrian army, but the Saudis are committed to the red lines of America, in the framework of restructuring the menu: No anti-aircraft missiles, and to continue training and preparation, and do not cooperate with the groups placed on the terrorism list, such as « Front victory », despite the fact that Americans themselves have tried, with the former ambassador to Syria, Robert Ford, and failed to win over the« free Sham »led by Abu Khalid Syrian until his death two months ago. Not differ «free Sham» much for «victory» in nature «base», especially in the core nucleus of veterans «jihad» Afghan.
The Turks began weeks ago to monitor more serious border crossings with Syria, and the search for weapons that do not want to go to the groups «Al-Qaeda», or those that are not subject to the directives of the operating room at the Antioch Unified, or rebel against the Turkish intelligence. It has become very normal to stretch kilometer-long convoys of trucks crossing at the fancy door, and wait a week or sometimes two weeks, to pass on its cargo scanning device (scanner), and to ensure respect for the orders of the operating room Arabia, the Qatar-Turkey.
It seems that the restructuring will lead, according to an expert in the north-west of the Syrian, to weaken the groups «jihadist» large, and subject to the Saudi strategy, without actually found from the axis and a moderate centrist.
The promotion of the commander of the «Front rebels Syria» beauty known in the framework of ongoing restructuring. And has been providing building contractor, and a getaway former Mount corner, substitute moderate for «jihadist», and «the General Staff of the army free» failed, but his comments to the newspaper «The Independent» British recently for «lack of hostility to the base, which is battling deservedly Syrian regime», as well as corruption, revealed the futility of betting on the crystal axis moderate.