Thursday, December 18, 2014

Publications Related to Intelligence

Publications Related to Intelligence

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A more sober approach to the Russian ‘reset’
Articles - August 27, 2013
Today, the U.S. and Moscow share few common interests
The fate of controversial National Security Agency whistleblower Edward Snowden, who was recently granted asylum by the Kremlin, is of little importance. His case, however, shines a revealing spotlight on the true state of U.S.-Russian relations, and on the sorry state of American policy toward Vladimir Putin’s Russia.
The Kremlin's Iran Problem
Articles - June 18, 2012
On Monday and Tuesday, all eyes will be on Russia as it hosts the third round in the troubled international negotiations now under way between Iran and the West over the former's nuclear program.
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 253
Bulletins - February 24, 2012
 Israel Tests its Arrow Anti-Missile System; Turkmenistan's President "Wins" Another Term; Canadians Helping Qaddafi's Son to Mexico?; Blackouts in Gaza
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1729
Bulletins - May 20, 2011
Skype, Gmail get a reprieve... for now;
Clipping Sechin's (and Putin's) wings
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1694
Bulletins - October 6, 2010
A pipeline to China on the horizon;
For FSB target, some long-delayed justice
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 260
Bulletins - August 25, 2010
Pakistan plays a triple game...; As the U.S. scales back pressure on Islamabad; AQ takes a backseat in Afghanistan; Pentagon report touches on China-India conflict
How to Fix U.S.-India Ties
Articles - August 20, 2010
Perhaps unsurprisingly, the U.S.-India partnership is losing momentum under President Barack Obama’s stewardship.  Fortifying the alliance was bound to be a secondary priority for any administration faced with a recession, a flagging war effort in Afghanistan, political stalemate in Iraq, stalled Middle East peace efforts, defiant pariah regimes in Iran and North Korea, and strategic tensions with China. Still, allowing the partnership to falter appears to have come easier to a president who never quite displayed George W. Bush’s zeal for the Indian-American relationship. To be sure, problems also exist on the Indian side. New Delhi has itself fallen into a form of post-honeymoon malaise, as the phase of grand political gestures gives way to tough technical negotiations. However, rather than mitigate the downside of this difficult period, the Obama administration is pursuing an agenda that further complicates it and, in doing so, risks some of the tremendous gains made in U.S.-India relations over the past decade.
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 226
Bulletins - August 20, 2010
Israel and Lebanon clash at the border; Arming the Saudis; Terror title shifts to South Asia; IMU leader Yuldashev dead
China Reform Monitor - No. 843
Bulletins - August 19, 2010
New missile bases expand China's reach; Chinese media censorship "increasingly tight"
Playing with Fire in Pakistan
Articles - July 30, 2010
That a Pakistani-born U.S. national was responsible for the latest attempted terrorist attack on U.S. soil should come as little surprise. Pakistan has stood, almost unchallenged, at the epicenter of global terrorism for the post-9/11 era. Individuals or groups based in Pakistan have been involved in the majority of planned attacks on Western nations since 2001 and the country has played a critical role in the resurgence of the Taliban in Afghanistan. Finally, nuclear-armed Pakistan maintains a network of Islamist militant groups focused on targeting India and is now host to a ferocious Islamist insurrection of its own; an insurgency that is now more deadly than those in either Iraq or Afghanistan. In short, no discussion of counterterrorism is complete without an examination of Pakistan and its role in Western terror attacks, the Afghan War, and its own attempts to combat domestic terrorism.
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 258
Bulletins - July 22, 2010
New U.S. base in northern Afghanistan?; Pak cracks down on Punjabi Taliban, sort of; India considers beefing up border presence even more; Headley tells India ISI involved in Mumbai
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1681
Bulletins - July 22, 2010
Back in the USSR;
Umarov: public enemy number one
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 224
Bulletins - July 15, 2010
Iraq seeks info on Iran nuke sites; Turkey beats back PKK, with U.S. help; AQAP tries its hand at western media, targets Yemen gov.; Tajikistan's lonely airbase
China Reform Monitor - No. 836
Bulletins - July 9, 2010
Obama accuses China of "willfull blindness" on Cheonan sinking; A first: China admits North started Korean War
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 255
Bulletins - May 28, 2010
So close, but so far away; Controversial nuke deal for Pak-China; Water disputes rise to the top of the Indo-Pak agenda; Drone math
China Reform Monitor - No. 826
Bulletins - May 24, 2010
China endures wave of attacks on schoolchildren; South Korea fingers north in ship sinking, irked China hosts Kim
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 222
Bulletins - May 21, 2010
Another step forward for Nabucco; North Korea arms bound for more than Iran?; Turkey deal on Iran sanctions -- breakthrough or delay tactic?; Turkmen leader endorses new party; Political gridlock in Baghdad
China Reform Monitor - No. 825
Bulletins - May 19, 2010
China bolsters presence along Sino-Burmese border; Taiwan military games simulate Chinese invasion
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 254
Bulletins - May 10, 2010
Pak draws down troops from Kashmir; Maoist protests paralyze Nepal; India and Pak eye navy upgrades; India and China bring water issues into the open
Mountain to climb -- China's complex relationship with India
Articles - May 7, 2010

The latest issue to raise heckles [in India] has been cyberespionage. In January, India’s National Security Advisor MK Naryanan directly blamed China for multiple hacking attacks, and the chairman of India’s Cyber Law and IT Act Committee warned that same month that China had “raised a cyber army of about 300,000 people and their only job is to intrude upon the secured networks of other countries.” In April, a study by US and Canadian researchers claimed that a Chinese ‘shadow network’ had copied secret files of India’s defence ministry, potentially compromising some of India’s advanced weapons systems.
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 252
Bulletins - April 2, 2010
Nato courting Moscow for Afghan assistance; Pakistan's constitution gets a makeover; More hardware to Sino-Indian border; New intel satellite for India; Iran and Pakistan reach deal on "Peace Pipeline"
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 251
Bulletins - March 26, 2010
LeT in America's sight's; Maoists respond to Operation Green Hunt; CIA and ISI draw closer; In arms sales, U.S. doesn't discriminate
China Reform Monitor - No. 811
Bulletins - March 10, 2010
ASEAN not happy with China Free Trade Zone; U.S. cyber-attacks traced back to Chinese colleges
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 218
Bulletins - March 4, 2010
China Reform Monitor - No. 808
Bulletins - February 22, 2010
HK democrats resign, press for referendum; Chinese GPS rival Beidou gets third satellite
Taking Stock Of Iran's Nuclear Ambitions
Articles - February 16, 2010
What can the Obama administration do about Iran's drive to develop nuclear weapons?

The president's informal year-end deadline for a diplomatic resolution to the nuclear impasse with Iran has come and gone. Iran recently announced that it plans to build 10 nuclear fuel plants and has moved to enrich uranium to a higher level than necessary for peaceful purposes. As a result, the center of gravity within Washington policy circles is moving toward punitive measures against the Islamic Republic in the hope of curtailing its persistent nuclear ambitions.

Yet in order for the tougher measures it contemplates to be effective, the White House will need to know a lot more about the Iranian program than appears to be the case currently. A comprehensive reevaluation of what we know about Iran's atomic drive -- and what it means -- is in order.
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 216
Bulletins - January 22, 2010
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 246
Bulletins - January 14, 2010
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 244
Bulletins - December 12, 2009
LeT alive and kicking; India and Russia come to terms on aircraft carrier; Nepal inching toward crisis; Quadrilateral security for Asia... sort of
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 213
Bulletins - December 3, 2009
Riyadh and Tehran take sides in Yemen civil war; Hezbollah has a new military strategy...; ...and a new political one
Iran Democracy Monitor - No. 96
Bulletins - November 19, 2009
Iran's Basijis get younger; IRGC takes control of intelligence...; ...and plans anti-PSYOP commands; Shoring up Khamenei's supremacy; Thumbing their nose at gasoline sanctions
China Reform Monitor - No. 782
Bulletins - September 25, 2009
Beijing rooting out Triad connections within the party; Unrest still brewing in Xinjiang
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1645
Bulletins - September 16, 2009
Russia's version of net-centric warfare;
"Root causes" in the Caucasus
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 208
Bulletins - August 16, 2009
In Saudi Arabia, near miss by al Qaeda; Sinopec finds a different way to Iraqi oil; Saudis and Russians near massive arms deal...; as Mideast takes top spot in arms purchases; Progress for Turkey and Armenia
China Reform Monitor - No. 772
Bulletins - July 22, 2009

Beijing plans local administration overhaul; India voices more concern over PLA buildup
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1635
Bulletins - June 16, 2009
Restarting START;
Second thoughts on Syria?
China Reform Monitor - No. 753
Bulletins - April 4, 2009
China accuses U.S. of spying on nuke subs; Beijing constructs journalist "black list"
China Reform Monitor - No. 751
Bulletins - March 27, 2009
Sino-U.S. naval spat in the Pacific; Sino-U.S. mil-mil relations still "in a difficult period"
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1613
Bulletins - January 20, 2009
Another Latin American ally for Moscow;
Russian counterintelligence works overtime
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1575
Bulletins - July 12, 2008
FSB fingered in Litvinenko murder;
Russia joins China to block Zimbabwe sanctions
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1574
Bulletins - July 7, 2008
BP feeling the squeeze in Russia;
Face to face: Bush and Medvedev meet
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1573
Bulletins - July 4, 2008
In "threats to Britain" poll, Russia nearly tops list;
Medvedev dismisses G8 eviction threat
China Reform Monitor - No. 696
Bulletins - June 5, 2008
China closes a door to Taipei at the WHO...;
... but leaves one open on earthquake aid
Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1548
Bulletins - April 5, 2008
For journalists under fire, asylum in Britain;
Moscow to send three Kilos to Venezuela
South Asia Security Monitor - No. 210
Bulletins - March 14, 2008
The LTTE's marriages of convenience;
Nuclear dreams in Jakarta 
Confronting Iran: U.S. Options
Policy Papers - November 15, 2007
Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran looms large on the agenda of policymakers in Washington. Over the past several years, it has become clear that the Islamic Republic is pursuing a massive, multifaceted endeavor to acquire a nuclear capability—and that it is making rapid progress toward this goal, despite pressure from the world community. Yet Iran’s nuclear program is just part of a larger picture. The Islamic Republic’s enduring support for terrorism, its growing and pernicious regional role, and its radical, uncompromising ideology currently also pose serious challenges to the United States, its allies and American interests in the greater Middle East.
So far, policymakers in Washington have failed to muster an adequate response on any of these fronts. As a result, the Islamic Republic has gained precious time to entrench itself in Iraq, expand its support for terrorists and bring added permanence to its nuclear effort. The logical conclusion of the current status quo is a mature Iranian nuclear capability, continued Coalition casualties in Iraq, and emboldened terrorist groups across the region. If it hopes to avoid such an outcome, the United States must harness all the elements of national power into a strategy that focuses on three concrete goals vis-à-vis Iran: counterproliferation, counterterrorism, and counterinsurgency.

Russia Reform Monitor - No. 1507
Bulletins - October 24, 2007
Bartering with missile defense;
Continued nostalgia for the Soviet system
Eurasia Security Watch - No. 154
Bulletins - July 17, 2007
Israel: Zero hour approaches; Curbing the virtue committee; Web fears in Damascus; Riyahd's duplicitous role; Al-Qaeda: Back in action...
Reinvigorating Intelligence
Articles - March 15, 2007
Five-and-a-half years after September 11th, the United States finally appears to have acknowledged the necessity of effective intelligence to its national security in the 21st century. The Bush administration, inheritor of a deeply flawed institution at its inauguration, was forced to confront this reality after a string of intelligence failures and foreign policy setbacks that culminated in the Iraq war.
President Bush managed to harness momentum from the disaster of 9/11 to institute the most extensive overhaul of American intelligence in decades. Yet, in true Washington form, time, attention and effort is not necessarily an indicator of success. Indeed, the Bush administration’s victories have been too few and far between, and its agenda for reform too susceptible to stalling or reversal. Momentum toward transformation likewise has been tempered by competing political interests and the inertia of Congress. The resulting track record has been mixed; the task incomplete.
Missile Defense Briefing Report - No. 213
Bulletins - December 6, 2006
A straggler in the PSI; Jitters over China's space ambitions; Romania takes itself off the table; Palestinian missile threat expands...; ...prompting a new focus on technology in Israel; U.S.-Japanese cooperation gathers momentum

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