Major Powers Reach Deal With Iran To Freeze Nuclear Program
Updated Nov. 23, 2013 10:14 p.m. ET
GENEVA—The U.S. and five other world powers
struck a historic agreement with Iran on Sunday, agreeing to ease part
of an economic stranglehold in exchange for steps aimed at capping
Tehran's nuclear program and ensuring the country's Islamist government
doesn't rush to develop atomic weapons.
The
agreement calls for Iran to stop its production of near-weapons grade
nuclear fuel—which is uranium enriched to 20% purity—and for the removal
of Tehran's stockpile of the fissile material, which is estimated to be
nearly enough to produce one nuclear bomb.
French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius, center,
leaves the Intercontinental Hotel prior to talks over Iran's nuclear
program in Geneva, Switzerland, Nov.23.
Jean-Christophe Bott/Associated Press/Keystone
Iran, in return, will gain relief
from Western economic sanctions that U.S. officials believe will provide
between $6 billion and $7 billion in badly needed foreign exchange for
Tehran over the next half-year.
The
agreement reached in Geneva is an interim deal for about six months that
will allow international powers to try to strike a permanent pact, an
effort experts said would be the true test of Iran's new government,
headed by revitalization-minded President
Hasan Rouhani.
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif met with
E.U. representatives in Geneva on Friday in an attempt to hash out
details of a possible deal to curb Iran's nuclear program. Via The
Foreign Bureau, WSJ's global news update.
While U.S. officials argued the deal
will roll back Iran's nuclear program, critics of the diplomacy are
likely to seize on key Western concessions, including a signal that
Washington ultimately will agree to accept Iran's enrichment of uranium
and would leave open for now the future of Tehran's plutonium-producing
reactor in Arak.
EU foreign-policy chief Catherine Ashton, center, flanked by members of her delegation.
Fabrice Coffrini/Press Pool
The first-stage deal also takes no
steps to force Iran to ship out or destroy the roughly 19,000 centrifuge
machines it is amassed to produce nuclear fuel.
U.S.
lawmakers and key American allies have said Iran will only abandon its
nuclear program if international pressure is increased.
Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif, center.
Fabrice Coffrini/Press Pool
The deal was completed during three
exhaustive negotiating sessions over the past month in Geneva involving
Iran and the five permanent members of the United Nations Security
Council and Germany, a diplomatic bloc called the P5+1.
U.S. Secretary of State
John Kerry
and the foreign ministers of the other members of the P5+1 states
traveled to the Swiss lakeside city over the weekend to push through
the final agreement—their second such visit in two weeks.
American
and Iranian officials called the deal a potential turning point in
Tehran's relations with the international community and an important
"first step" in ending the decadelong standoff over Iran's nuclear
program.
"The agreement creates the time
and space for a comprehensive solution," said Catherine Ashton, the
European Union's foreign policy chief, who leads the P5+1.
Switzerland's Foreign Minister Didier Burkhalter,
left, shakes hands with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad-Javad Zarif
before talks about Iran's nuclear program on Saturday.
Associated Press
U.S. and European officials said the
six months that the interim agreement covers will be used to forge a
broader accord that permanently ends the threat posed by Tehran's
nuclear work. Iranian officials stressed this week that the nuclear
program only had civilian uses.
American,
European and Iranian officials described on Saturday a testy three days
of talks that were needed to forge the final deal.
The
question of what to do with Iran's heavy water reactor nearing
completion in the city of Arak nearly killed an agreement in the later
stages of the diplomacy, said theses officials.
France
was pushing for a complete dismantling of the reactor on the grounds
that there was no nonmilitary rational for building the facility. The
U.S. government shared this position
Under
the deal, Iran agreed to significantly increase inspections of Arak by
the U.N.'s nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency.
Iran
also agreed to cap its enrichment of uranium to levels only usable as
fuel for a reactor, which is a purity of 3.5% to 5%. Iran committed to
maintaining its total stockpile of the low-enriched nuclear fuel at its
current level, which is around six tons, during the six-month period.
Iran
and the P5+1 also forged a compromise over the issue that over the past
few days looked as though it could squelch a deal—Tehran's demand that
the international community accept its "right" to continue producing
nuclear fuel domestically.
Tehran cites
the U.N.'s nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty as affording every signatory
that legal right to enrich uranium, provided it is used for civilian
purposes. Successive U.S. administrations have denied this right exists
and have supported multiple U.N. Security Council resolutions requiring
Tehran to suspends its enrichment activities.
In
a compromise, the P5+1 agreed to a text that says Iran will enjoy all
the rights of treaty signatories, provided Iran satisfies all of the
IAEA's questions about the alleged military dimensions of Iran's
program. But the U.S. and its partners won't be forced to formally
accept that Iran will be allowed to enrich.
Still,
the compromise is seen as a victory for Iran, which has campaigned for a
decade on this issue. U.S. officials on Saturday acknowledged that Iran
will likely be allowed to maintain some enrichment capacity on its soil
as part of a final deal.
"We're interested in exploring how
Iran might end up with a limited and tightly controlled facility to
enrich," said a senior U.S. official.
U.S.
officials said the agreement will provide sanctions relief of between
$6 billion to $7 billion over the next six months, a number far below
estimates made by critics of the agreement, including the government of
Israel. The Obama administration also stressed that any easing of the
sanctions could be quickly reverses if Iran is found not complying with
the agreement.
U.S. officials said the
P5+1 immediately will begin helping Iran repatriate about $4.2 billion
in oil revenues that it has not been able to access overseas as a result
of the sanctions. Iran is estimated to have $50 billion in these
revenues overseas, which its government has been unable to access. The
funds will be returned to Iran in monthly installments of $600 million.
The
agreement also calls for the U.S. and European Union to ease the ban on
Iran's trade in petrochemicals, precious metals, automobiles and
airplane spare parts. U.S. and European officials said they didn't
believe that such commerce could derive more than a few billion dollars
in revenues for Tehran over the next six months. But they said some of
the trade—such as access to airline parts—is critical to Iran, which has
increasingly found its jetliners grounded due to safety concerns.
U.S.
officials stressed that the sanctions relief will still be dwarfed by
the revenues Iran is still losing out due to the pervasive sanctions
that remain in place.
These diplomats
estimated that Iran still is likely to lose around $25 billion over the
six months to the U.S. and European embargo against oil purchases. They
also believed Tehran will continue to find itself unable to repatriate
the earnings from the oil its does sell in Asia and the Middle East, due
to sanctions. One official said Iran was likely to find itself unable
to access another $14 to $16 billion in oil earnings over the next six
months.
"The pressure of the sanctions will continue to grow," said a second American official involved in the Geneva talks.
Write to Laurence Norman at Laurence.Norman@wsj.com and Jay Solomon at Jay.Solomon@wsj.com
What's in the Iran Deal
The historic deal struck between Iran and world powers is an interim agreement that gives each side a small portion of their demands.Western officials said the deal will halt the growth of Iran's nuclear program; roll back key parts of the nuclear complex; step up monitoring; and expand the time it will take Iran to "break out" and produce weapons-grade fuel.
Iran says it is receiving a break from economic sanctions and international recognition that it is entitled to pursue a civilian nuclear program.
Here are major provisions:
Enrichment
-Iran must cease all uranium enrichment above 5% purity.
-International powers will recognize the right of the Iranian people to access peaceful nuclear energy.
Stockpile
-Iran will begin converting existing stocks of uranium enriched to 20% purity to an oxide that can't be used in weapons, or dilute it to a fraction of its current purity level. (Uranium enriched to 20% is considered near weapons-grade. Atomic bombs require nuclear material at 90% purity to be more than a "dirty bomb.")
-Iran must not increase its stockpile of low-enriched uranium.
Centrifuges
-Centrifuges capable of enriching uranium beyond 5% purity will be disconnected.
-Iran will not install any new centrifuges. Old units will not be replaced with new ones. Iran can't increase the number of enrichment facilities in the country.
-Iran will not amass new centrifuges that can be quickly put into place if long-term talks collapse.
Verification
-Daily inspections will be held for the first time at the Natanz and Fordow facilities, replacing weekly inspections. New access to centrifuge production sites, uranium mines and mills, design information on the Arak nuclear power reactor.
-Iran agrees to some of the provisions contained in a document known as the "additional protocol," an agreement with the United Nations' nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency. Iran under the provision would provide expanded information on plans for reactors and production sites.
Arak nuclear reactor
-No advancement in work on the plant will take place during the interim agreement.
-Iran will not dismantle Arak or begin dismantling it during the agreement.
'Breakout'
-If it chose to rapidly produce weapons-grade material, Iran will need weeks to months longer than it would need without the interim agreement. With less higher-enriched uranium, fewer centrifuges and more inspectors, international powers would have more time and wherewithal to spot a "breakout" attempt, Western officials say.
Sanctions
-Iran will receive overall relief believed to equal $6 billion to $7 billion during the interim agreement.
-Iran will have better access to its own funds for humanitarian initiatives.
-Sanctions are being suspended on petrochemical exports.
-Sanctions are being suspended on dealing in gold and precious metals.
-Most sanctions affecting Iran's auto industry are being suspended, so leaders can work on making it a major part of its economy.
-Sanctions are being eased on airplane parts, including by ensuring parts are used for flight safety and not, for example, for military radar.
-Any restricted Iranian funds may now be used for purchasing medical equipment. West will watch to make sure purchases are from recognized firms and not unknown companies with suspect motives.
-All relief is considered limited, temporary and reversible. International powers will maintain core sanctions on banking and oil. Any measures can be reversed if Iran doesn't meet its commitments.
New sanctions
-West will retain right to impose new sanctions if agreement is violated.
--Jay Solomon and Laurence Norman
Write to Laurence Norman at laurence.norman@wsj.com and Jay Solomon at jay.solomon@wsj.com
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