Sunday, November 24, 2013

How Bright Will Comet ISON Get? Only Time Will Tell

How_Bright_Will_Comet_ISON-7f0cdf4c3d719668121049320a1e4301The potentially dazzling Comet ISON is currently visible to the unaided eye — a milestone for the comet’s much-anticipated pass through the inner solar system — but its future all depends in how it reacts to a close Thanksgiving encounter with the sun, comet observers say. Comet ISON can be seen low in the southeastern sky an hour before dawn, weather permitting,  but it is en route for an extremely close flyby of the sun on Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 28). Will it break apart due to the sun’s gravity and heat, or will the comet emerge victorious from its solar rendezvous and shine bright in the night sky? No one knows for sure yet, said Alan MacRobert, senior editor for Sky & Telescope magazine, in a skywatching guide this week.  ”We might witness a nice, long-tailed comet visible to the naked eye that will leave millions of people with fond memories for a lifetime,” MacRobert said. ”Or maybe it will be a small comet for sky hunters using binoculars and a good map of its position. Or it might yet break up and vanish.” [How to See Comet ISON: An Observer's Guide] Comet ISON’s nucleus, or core, will have to survive its closest encounter with the sun on Nov. 28 around 2 p.m. EST. (1900 GMT) Surface temperatures are expected to peak at 2,700 degrees Fahrenheit (4,900 degrees Celsius). That’s hot enough to melt iron, let alone the ices that make up the comet’s core.  More

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